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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Hotham, Victoria
South-eastern Melbourne: Clarinda, Clayton, Mulgrave, Oakleigh, Wheelers Hill
State seats: Parts of
Bentleigh,
Clarinda,
Mount Waverley,
Mulgrave and
Oakleigh
Local government areas: Parts of Glen Eira, Greater Dandenong, Kingston and Monash
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,859
1999 republic referendum: Yes 54.2
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 59.6
Sitting member: Clare O'Neil (Labor):
Elected 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 13.0%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 13.5%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.3%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.5%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 4.2%
Status: Marginal Labor
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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 |
 |
 |
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1. Jin Luan
United Australia Party |
2. Clare O'Neil
Australian Labor Party |
3. George Hua
Liberal Party |
4. Jess Gonsalvez
Australian Greens |
5. Peter Dorian
Rise Up Australia |
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6. Dennis Bilic
Sustainable Australia |
Candidate websites:
Jess Gonsalvez
George Hua
Clare O'Neil
Division of Hotham
Hotham was created in 1969, when the old seat of Higinbotham, which had existed since 1949, was renamed (to avoid
confusion with a state seat of the same name). Over successive redistributions it has been shifted around the
south-eastern suburbs, moving from the Moorabbin-Sandringham area towards Clayton and Springvale. In the process
it took in some of Melbourne's most heavily working-class and multicultural newer suburbs, while shedding older
middle-class areas, and moved from fairly safe Liberal to safe Labor. In the 1960s Hotham was held by Don Chipp, a minister
in Liberal governments and later founder and leader of the Australian Democrats.
Simon Crean won Hotham for Labor in 1990. Crean is the son of Frank Crean, Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam government.
He was President of the ACTU from 1985 to 1990, and was put
into the Hawke ministry as soon as he was elected in 1990, then promoted to Cabinet in 1991. He was an unsuccessful
Opposition Leader in 2001-03, but his career revived as a senior minister in the Rudd-Gillard Government. In 2013 he
resigned after his involvement in the botched first coup attempt against Gillard, and retired in 2013.
Clare O’Neil, Labor MP for Hotham since 2013, has a master's degree from Harvard and was a manager with McKinsey,
and mayor of the City of Greater Dandenong, before her election. She is now Shadow Minister for Justice and
for Financial Services.
The 2018 redistribution has moved the seat north-east into Liberal-voting Glen Waverley and Mulgrave, cutting
the Labor majority, but not enough to put the seat at serious risk.
The Liberal candidate is George Hua, a software engineer and City of Kingston councillor.
The Greens candidate is Jess Gonsalvez, whose occupation is not stated.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,435 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 16.4% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 51.9% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 9.2%, Greek 6.0%
Non-English-speaking households: 46.9% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 22.6% (Australia 22.6%)
Buddhist 9.2%
No religion 26.2% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 25.4% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 35.2% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 23.8% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 33.5% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 26.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 38.6% (Australia 32.8%)
Members for Higinbotham (1949-69) and Hotham (since 1969):
Frank Timson (Lib) 1949-60
Hon Donald Chipp (Lib) 1960b-77
Roger Johnston (Lib) 1977-80
Lewis Kent (ALP) 1980-90
Hon Simon Crean (ALP) 1990-2013
Clare O'Neil (ALP) 2013-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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