Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Holt, Victoria

< Hinkler previous seat | next seat Hotham >
Return to alphabetical list of seats


South-eastern Melbourne: Cranbourne, Hampton Park, Lyndhurst, Narre Warren South, Pearcedale
State seats: All of Cranbourne, parts of Bass, Hastings and Narre Warren South
Local government areas: Parts of Casey
Enrolment at close of rolls: 106,830
1999 republic referendum: No 51.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 50.7

Sitting member: Hon Anthony Byrne (Labor): Elected 1999 by-election, 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2103, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.6%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 13.2%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 9.1%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 14.2%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 9.9%

Status: Fairly safe Labor

Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Bayles (70.8), Tooradin (65.4), Cranbourne South (63.2), Devon Meadows (62.6), Pearcedale (58.2)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Coral Park (73.4), Hampton Park (73.3), Hampton Park East (72.9), Kilberry Valley (72.7), Cranbourne North-East (69.4)

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Hon Anthony Byrne
    Australian Labor Party
    2. Jess Wheelock
    Australian Greens
    3. Jatinder Singh
    United Australia Party
    4. Jennifer Van Den Broek
    Liberal Party



    Candidate websites:

    Hon Anthony Byrne
    Jennifer Van Den Broek
    Jess Wheelock

    Division of Holt

    Holt was created in 1969, based on the manufacturing centre of Dandenong in Melbourne's south-eastern suburbs. Subsequent redistributions, however, moved the seat further out, removing Dandenong and adding the commuter suburb of Cranbourne. On its 2013 boundaries Holt was the country's foremost mortgage belt seat - it had the highest proportion of families with dependent children and the highest proportion of dwellings being purchased of any electorate. It is thus acutely sensitive to interest rates, which nearly cost Labor the seat at the 2004 election.

    Gareth Evans, Foreign Minister in the Hawke-Keating Government, won Holt in 1996 after a long career in the Senate. He departed after Labor's defeat in 1998.

    Anthony Byrne, Labor MP since the 1999 by-election which followed Evas's resignation, was chief executive officer of the Anxiety Disorders Foundation of Australia before his election. He was a parliamentary secretary in the first Rudd Government but was dropped after the 2010 election. He was chair of the Joint Statutory Committee on Intelligence and Security from 2010 to 2013 and is now deputy chair.

    The 2018 redistribution has removed the Labor strongholds of Doveton and Hallam, and added a stretch of semi-rural territory around Pearcedale and Tooradin. This has substantially reduced the Labor majority, but not enough to give the Liberals a real chance of winning the seat.

    The Liberal candidate is Jennifer Van Den Broek, a sales executive. The Greens candidate is Jess Wheelock, a business owner.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,579 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 8.3% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 51.0% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: Indian 8.3%
    Non-English-speaking households: 36.3% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 22.2% (Australia 22.6%)
    Hinduism: 6.0%
    No religion 25.9% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 16.6% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 23.6% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 32.8% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 57.8% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 22.0% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 48.5% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Leonard Reid (Lib) 1969-72
    Max Oldmeadow (ALP) 1972-75
    William Yates (Lib) 1975-80
    Hon Michael Duffy (ALP) 1980-96
    Hon Gareth Evans (ALP) 1996-99
    Hon Anthony Byrne (ALP) 1999b-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




  • Back to main page