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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Hughes, New South Wales
Southern Sydney: Heathcote, Holsworthy, Menai, Sutherland, Woronora
State seats: Parts of
Cronulla,
Heathcote,
Holsworthy and
Miranda
Local government areas: Parts of Liverpool and Sutherland
Enrolment at close of rolls: 106,274
1999 republic referendum: No 50.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 58.4
Sitting member: Craig Kelly (Liberal):
Elected 2010, 2013, 2016
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.2%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.2%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.7%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 9.3%
Status: Fairly safe Liberal
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
1. Craig Kelly
Liberal Party |
2. Mitchell Shakespeare
Australian Greens |
3. Gae Constable
Animal Justice Party |
4. Terrance Keep
United Australia Party |
5. Deidree Steinwall
Australian Labor Party |
 |
6. Matt Bryan
Independent |
Candidate websites:
Craig Kelly
Mitchell Shakespeare
Deidree Steinwall
Division of Hughes
Hughes was created in 1955, as a seat based on the Sutherland Shire and the mining communities on the coast
between Sydney and Woollongong. It also usually included some Woollongong suburbs. On these boundaries it
was a safe Labor seat, although it was lost to the Liberals in 1966 (when all of the present seat of Cook
was in the seat). The 1984 redistribution, however, moved the seat north, making it an entirely
Sutherland-based seat and politically marginal. This put Hughes in the top 10% of electorates for median
family income. It also has one of the highest proportions of families with dependent children and dwellings
being purchased of any electorate: it is thus a high-income mortgage belt seat, full of young families with
high incomes but high mortgages.
Hughes was held by two Labor ministers, Les Johnson in the Whitlam Government and Robert Tickner in the
Keating Government, but the Liberals won it in John Howard's sweep of the Sydney marginals in 1996, and have
held it ever since, despite a close call in 2007. Danna Vale, who won Hughes in 1996, was a Howard favourite
and had a brief and unhappy ministerial career before retiring in 2010.
Craig Kelly, Liberal MP for Hughes since 2010, was an export manager before his election. Since Malcolm
Turnbull became Prime Minister he has been a prominent backbench dissident, supporting former PM Tony
Abbott's positions on climate and energy policy. In September it was reported that Kelly was likely to
lose his Liberal nomination to former state President of the Liberal Party Kent Johns. But Kelly was saved by
an intervention from Prime Minister Morrison, who insisted that all sitting members in NSW be re-endorsed.
The Labor candidate in 2019 is Deidree Steinwall, a high school teacher and member of Sutherland Shire Council,
who also ran in 2016. The Greens candidate is Mitchell Shakespeare, a student.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $2,088 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 14.4% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 76.4% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 20.5% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 29.2% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 22.9% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 23.7% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 37.7% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 23.5% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 44.6% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 17.6% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 47.0% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Leslie Johnson (ALP) 1955-66
Donald Dobie (Lib) 1966-69
Hon Leslie Johnson (ALP) 1969-84
Hon Robert Tickner (ALP) 1984b-96
Hon Danna Vale (Lib) 1996-2010
Craig Kelly (Lib) 2010-
Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:
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