Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Hinkler, Queensland

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Central Coast Queensland: Bargara, Bundaberg, Childers, Hervey Bay, Howard
State seats: All of Bundaberg, parts of Burnett, Hervey Bay and Maryborough
Local government areas: Parts of Bundaberg and Fraser Coast
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,761
1999 republic referendum: No 69.4
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 50.7

Sitting member: Hon Keith Pitt (Nationals): Elected 2013, 2016

2007 Nationals majority over Labor: 1.7%
2010 Nationals majority over Labor: 10.4%
2013 Nationals majority over Labor: 9.0%
2016 Nationals majority over Labor: 8.5%
2019 notional Nationals majority over Labor: 8.4%

Status: Fairly safe Nationals

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Damian Huxham
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    2. Hon Keith Pitt
    The Nationals
    3. Anne Jackson
    Australian Greens
    4. David Norman
    Independent
    5. Moe Turaga
    Independent
    6. Aaron Erskine
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    7. Joseph Ellul
    United Australia Party
    8. Amy Byrnes
    Animal Justice Party
    9. Richard Pascoe
    Australian Labor Party
    10. Adrian Wone
    Independent



    Candidate websites:

    Damian Huxham
    Anne Jackson
    Richard Pascoe
    Hon Keith Pitt

    Division of Hinkler

    Hinkler was created in 1984, based on the provincial industrial centres of Bundaberg and Gladstone. Once Hinkler would have been a safe Labor seat, but the decline in Labor's regional base vote meant that even in 1984 it was no better than marginal for Labor. Hinkler has among the lowest level of median household income of any seat in Australia, as a result of its mix of retirees, service workers and farmers, and has the country's third-highest proportion of people over 65. It also has the low proportions of people born in non English speaking countries and of people in professional and managerial occupations typical of regional seats, especially in Queensland.

    Hinkler was won by a National, Bryan Conquest, in 1984, but the "Joh for Canberra" debacle led to his defeat by Labor's Brian Courtice in 1987. Courtice was defeated in 1993 by Paul Neville, who held the seat for 20 years without attracting much notice. One Nation caused Neville a lot of problems and he was very nearly defeated in both 1998 and 2001. The 2006 redistribution did the Nationals a big favour by removing Gladstone from the seat and replacing it with the fast-growing Hervey Bay tourism and retirement centre, previously in Wide Bay. The Hervey Bay booths are usually solidly National. This made the seat a good deal more secure for the Nationals.

    Keith Pitt, Nationals MP for Hinkler since 2013, was a cane farmer and electrical engineer before his election. Pitt was an assistant minister from February 2016 to December 2017, when he was abruptly sacked by Barnaby Joyce. Following Joyce's demise, Pitt was rehabilitated by Michael McCormack and became Assistant Minister to the Deputy Prime Minister, but was again dropped in August 2018.

    Labor's candidate in 2019 will be Richard Pascoe, an organiser with the Independent Education Union. The Greens candidate is Anne Jackson, "a casual roadside attendant." The One Nation candidate is Damian Huxham. a "heavy plant operator in the mining & civil construction industries."

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $946 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 25.4% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 4.1% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 78.1% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: German 6.1%
    Non-English-speaking households: 6.0% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 18.6% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 27.0% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 10.2% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 26.8% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 22.6% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: 7.2% (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 26.4% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 30.6% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 22.6% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Bryan Conquest (NPA) 1984-87
    Brian Courtice (ALP) 1987-93
    Paul Neville (NPA) 1993-2013
    Hon Keith Pitt (Nat) 2013-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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