Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Gellibrand, Victoria

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Western Melbourne: Altona, Footscray, Laverton, Spotswood, Williamstown
State seats: All of Altona and Williamstown, parts of Footscray and Tarneit
Local government areas: All of Hobsons Bay, parts of Maribyrnong and Wyndham
Enrolment at close of rolls: 111,217
1999 republic referendum: Yes 56.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 68.1

Sitting member: Tim Watts (Labor): Elected 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 21.5%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 23.9%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 16.5%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 18.3%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 14.7%

Status: Safe Labor

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Tim Watts
    Australian Labor Party
    2. Bernadette Thomas
    Australian Greens
    3. Anthony Mitchell
    Liberal Party
    4. Lisa Bentley
    United Australia Party



    Candidate websites:

    Lisa Bentley
    Anthony Mitchell
    Bernadette Thomas
    Tim Watts

    Division of Gellibrand

    Gellibrand was created in 1949, occupying a block of Melbourne's working-class western suburbs, based on Footscray and Williamstown. Successive redistributions have extended it westwards into newer suburban areas, without much changing its political character. The seat, or at least the part nearer the city of Melbourne, is now changing from being a working-class Labor seat to being an inner-city multicultural Labor seat, as shown by the relatively high income level, the high proportion of non English speaking households and the fairly high proportion in professional and managerial occupations. This combination is always an indicator of Labor strength.

    Members for Gellibrand have included Ralph Willis, Treasurer in the Keating government, and Nicola Roxon, a senior minister in the Rudd-Gillard Government. Roxon retired in 2013.

    Tim Watts, Labor member for Gellibrand since 2013, was a solicitor, a ministerial adviser and a manager at Telstra before his election. The 2018 redistribution has extended the seat further to the west, while removing the Labor stronghold of Sunshine. This has reduced the Labor majority, but Gellibrand is still a safe Labor seat. The Greens polled 21.5% at the 2016 election, but the new boundaries will be less favourable to them.

    The Liberal candidate is Anthony Mitchell, a business consultant. The Greens candidate is Bernadette Thomas, a high-school teacher.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,490 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 13.4% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 57.1% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: Vietnamese 5.6%
    Non-English-speaking households: 39.1% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 24.1% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 32.1% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 28.4% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 39.7% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 20.4% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 31.3% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 35.4% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 31.4% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    John Mullens (ALP, ALP-AC) 1949-55
    Hector McIvor (ALP) 1955-72
    Hon Ralph Willis (ALP) 1972-98
    Hon Nicola Roxon (ALP) 1998-2013
    Tim Watts (ALP) 2013-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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