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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Capricornia, Queensland
Central Queensland coast: Kawana, Moranbah, Rockhampton, Sarina, Yeppoon
State seats: All of
Keppell, parts of
Burdekin,
Mirani and
Rockhampton
Local government areas: All of Isaac and Livingston, parts of Mackay, Rockhampton and Whitsunday
Enrolment at close of rolls: 102,577
1999 republic referendum: No 68.1
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 54.1
Sitting member: Hon Michelle Landry (Nationals):
Elected 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.7%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.7%
2013 Nationals majority over Labor: 0.8%
2016 Nationals majority over Labor: 0.6%
2019 notional Nationals majority over Labor: 0.6%
Status: Very marginal Nationals
Best Nationals booths, two-party vote: Chelona (69.0), Gargett (66.6), Eton (65.5), Homebush (65.4), Nebo (63.9)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Collinsville PPVC (75.4), Collinsville (68.4), Moranbah PPVC (68.1), Berserker (68.0), Dysart (62.7)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Paul Bambrick
Australian Greens |
2. George Birkbeck
Katter's Australian Party |
3. Richard Temple
Labour DLP |
4. Ken Murray
Independent |
5. Hon Michelle Landry
The Nationals |
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6. Russell Robertson
Australian Labor Party |
7. Wade Rothery
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
8. Lindsay Sturgeon
United Australia Party |
9. Grant Pratt
Fraser Anning's Conservative
National Party |
Candidate websites:
Paul Bambrick
George Birkbeck
Michelle Landry
Russell Robertson
Wade Rothery
Division of Capricornia
Capricornia has existed since Federation, and has always been based on the provincial port of Rockhampton, although its boundaries have
fluctuated greatly at successive redistributions. It has usually been a Labor seat. The seat has rather higher median income levels than
most rural seats, but has the usual rural characteristics of low levels of people in professional occupations and of people born in non
English speaking countries.
While many provincial cities have turned against Labor in recent years, Rockhampton is still solidly Labor: even in 2013 Labor won most of
the Rockhampton booths, some with more than 60% of the two-party vote. Labor also retains support in mining towns such as Collinsville,
Dysart and Moranbah. The Nationals poll best in the small rural booths and the coastal towns of Sarina and Yeppoon.
Capricornia's most distinguished member has been Frank Forde, Labor's Deputy Leader 1935-46 and briefly Prime Minister in 1945. After his
defeat in 1946, Labor did not regain the seat until 1961. Since then the Nationals have won it four times: in 1975 and 1996, in each
case for only one term, and then in 2013 and 2016. Labor's Kirsten Livermore won Capricornia in 1998, and held it as a backbencher until her
retirement in 2013, when it fell to the Nationals on a 4.5% swing.
Michelle Landry, Nationals MP for Capricornia since 2013, was a bank officer for over 20 years before establishing her own book-keeping
business. She contested Capricornia in 2010 before winning it in 2013. She held the seat with only a slight negative swing in 2016. The 2018
redistribution has slightly further reduced her majority. In August 2018 she was appointed Assistant Minister for Children and Families.
Labor's candidate is Russell Robertson, a miner and CFMEU official from Moranbah. His candidacy is a gamble that the area's blue-collar unionist
Labor tradition can still deliver the votes to win a federal seat. The Greens candidate is Paul Bambrick, whose occupation is not stated.
The One Nation candidate is Wade Rothery, a "Central Queensland miner" who polled 21% in the state seat of Rockhampton in 2018. The
Katter's Australian Party candidate is George Birkbeck, a beef and dairy cattle producer.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,418 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 14.1% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 5.3% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 80.8% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 5.9% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 26.6% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 22.6% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 11.3% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.2% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 18.8% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 5.9% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 33.1% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 33.4% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 31.6% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Alexander Paterson (Ind) 1901-03
David Thomson (ALP) 1903-06
Edward Archer (AS, Lib) 1906-10
Hon William Higgs (ALP, Nat) 1910-22
Rt Hon Frank Forde (ALP) 1922-46
Charles Davidson (Lib) 1946-49
Henry Pearce (Lib) 1949-61
George Gray (ALP) 1961-67
Hon Dr Doug Everingham (ALP) 1967b-75
Colin Carige (NCP) 1975-77
Hon Dr Doug Everingham (ALP) 1977-84
Keith Wright (ALP, Ind) 1984-93
Marjorie Henzell (ALP) 1993-96
Paul Marek (NPA) 1996-98
Kirsten Livermore (ALP) 1998-2013
Michelle Landry (Nat) 2013-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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