Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Canning, Western Australia

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South of Perth: Byford, Halls Head, Mandurah, Pinjarra, Roleystone
State seats: All of Dawesville and Mandurah, parts of Central Wheatbelt, Darling Range, Kalamunda and Murray-Wellington
Local government areas: All of Boddington, Mandurah, Murray, Serpentine-Jarrahdale and Waroona, parts of Armadale, Gosnells and Kalamunda
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,182
1999 republic referendum: No 67.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 60.2

Sitting member: Andrew Hastie (Liberal): Elected 2015 by-election, 2016

2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.6%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.2%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 11.8%
2015 by-election Liberal majority over Labor: 5.3%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.8%

Status: Marginal Liberal

Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Coolup (71.4), Carmel (67.7), Karragullen (66.1), Boddington (64.1), Bedfordale (65.3)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Greenfields East (60.3), Pinjarrah North (56.3), Mandurah East (53.4), Greenfields (50.9), Byford (49.3)

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Malcolm Heffernan
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    2. Jackson Wreford
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    3. Jamie van Burgel
    Australian Christians
    4. Jodie Moffatt
    Australian Greens
    5. Steve Veevers
    United Australia Party
    6. Andrew Hastie
    Liberal Party
    7. Melissa Teede
    Australian Labor Party
    8. Brett Clarke
    Western Australian Party



    Candidate websites:

    Andrew Hastie
    Jodie Moffatt
    Melissa Teede

    Division of Canning

    Canning was created in 1949, as a rural seat covering the southern part of the WA Wheat Belt. On these boundaries it was a very safe non-Labor seat, which changed hands several times between the Liberal Party and the Country Party. The 1980 redistribution turned it into an outer suburban seat based in Perth's south-eastern suburbs, and it has been politically marginal ever since. More recently it has been expanded to the south to take in the retirment centres of Mandurah and Dawesville, and semi-rural areas around Pinjarra.

    Canning has been a typical outer suburban mortgage belt seat, dominated by traditional families with children and mortgages, and thus sensitive to interest rates and other economic issues. It also has one of the highest proportions of immigrants from the UK of any electorate. The Mandurah area has a large population of people over 65.

    Don Randall, previously member for Swan, defeated Labor's Jane Gerick in 2001, and held the seat until his death in 2015. He was given a scare when the popular former state minister Alannah MacTiernan ran against him in 2010, but he won his largest ever majority in 2013.

    Andrew Hastie, Liberal MP for Canning since the 2015 by-election which followed Randall's death, was an Australian Army officer for eight years, serving in Afghanistan. The 2016 redistribution removed Labor-voting Armidale and Thornlie from the seat, while adding coastal territory near Mandurah, shifting the balance of the seat towards the coastal zone and away from the suburbs. The seat is now fairly safe for the Liberals.

    The Labor candidate in 2019 will be Melissa Teede, CEO of the Peel Development Commission. The Greens candidate is Jodie Moffatt, a solicitor in Mandurah. The Australian Christians candidate is Jamie van Burgel, whose occupation is not stated.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,341 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 19.4% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 2.0% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 67.0% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 9.0% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 18.2% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 33.7% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 10.9% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 23.7% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 30.2% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: 2.4% (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 41.9% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 22.3% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 31.5% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Leonard Hamilton (CP) 1949-61
    Neil McNeill (Lib) 1961-63
    John Hallett (CP) 1963-74
    Mel Bungey (Lib) 1974-83
    Wendy Fatin (ALP) 1983-84
    Hon George Gear (ALP) 1984-96
    Ricky Johnston (Lib) 1996-98
    Jane Gerick (ALP) 1998-2001
    Don Randall (Lib) 2001-15
    Andrew Hastie (Lib) 2015b-

    Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:




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