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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Brisbane, Queensland
Central Brisbane: Ashgrove, Brisbane, Clayfield, Hamilton, Wilston
State seats: All of
McConnel, parts of
Clayfield,
Cooper,
Ferny Grove and
Stafford
Local government areas: Parts of Brisbane
Enrolment at close of rolls: 115,548
1999 republic referendum: Yes 57.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 79.5
Sitting member: Trevor Evans (Liberal):
Elected 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 6.8%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.1%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.3%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.9%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 6.0%
Status: Marginal Liberal
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Anne Perry
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
2. Trevor Evans
Liberal Party |
3. Aaron Whittaker
United Australia Party |
4. Andrew Bartlett
Australian Greens |
5. Rod Jeanneret
Fraser Anning's Conservative
National Party |
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6. Dr Paul Newbury
Australian Labor Party |
7. Kamala Emanuel
Socialist Alliance |
Candidate websites:
Andrew Bartlett
Trevor Evans
Dr Paul Newbury
Division of Brisbane
Brisbane has existed since Federation, and and various times has taken in most of the city north of the Brisbane
River, and sometimes south of it. Since 1949 it has consisted of central Brisbane and the inner suburbs. On the
2007 boundaries, it extended north-west to take in Labor-voting Ashgrove. The 2009 redistribution changed it
substantially, reorienting it to the east to include some of Brisbane's strongest Liberal areas in Clayfield and
Hamilton.
Like most inner-city seats, Brisbane now has a high median income level and a high proportion of people in
professional and managerial occupations, combined with low levels of families with dependent children and of dwellings being
purchased. Its proportion of non English speaking households is surprisingly low for an inner city seat, and
lower than in some other Brisbane-area seats.
Brisbane was once a safe Labor seat: George Lawson held it for 30 years. But it grew increasingly marginal in the 1970s and '80s, and was won by the Liberals
in 1975. But the increasing cosmopolitanisation of inner city seats improved Labor's position in the 1990s,
and it was one of only two seats retained by Labor in Queensland in 1996.
Arch Bevis won Brisbane for Labor in 1990, and was briefly a parliamentary secretary
in the Keating government. In 2010 the less favourable boundaries, combined with the strong reaction in Queensland
to the demise of Kevin Rudd, produced a big swing that saw Bevis defeated after holding the seat for 20 years.
His Liberal successor, Theresa Gambaro,
had been MP for Petrie 1996-2007, and a parliamentary secretary in the Howard government. She retired at the
2016 election.
Trevor Evans, Liberal MP for Brisbane since 2016, was chief executive of the National Retail Association and
chief-of-staff to Immigration Minister Peter Dutton before his election. He is openly gay (as was his Labor
opponent in 2016, Pat O'Neill.) With a majority of 5.9%, Evans will be safe on these boundaries against all but the
biggest swings. The Labor candidate in 2019 will be Dr Paul Newbury, a former executive in the electricity
industry. The Greens candidate will be former Senator Andrew Bartlett.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,868 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 9.7% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 63.6% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 20.1% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 24.6% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 35.9% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 40.5% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 50.7% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 12.9% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 26.1% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 50.6% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 22.0% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Thomas Macdonald-Paterson (Ind) 1901-03
Dr Millice Culpin (Lab) 1903-06
Hon Justin Foxton (AS, Lib) 1906-10
William Finlayson (ALP) 1910-19
Donald Cameron (Nat, UAP) 1919-31
Hon George Lawson (ALP) 1931-61
Manfred Cross (ALP) 1961-75
Peter Johnson (Lib) 1975-80
Manfred Cross (ALP) 1980-90
Hon Arch Bevis (ALP) 1990-2010
Hon Teresa Gambaro (Lib) 2010-16
Trevor Evans (Lib) 2016-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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