Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Bradfield, New South Wales

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Northern Sydney: Chatswood, Gordon, Lindfield, St Ives, Wahroonga
State seats: Parts of Davidson, Hornsby and Ku-Ring-Gai
Local government areas: All of Ku-Ring-Gai, parts of Hornsby and Willoughby
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,366
1999 republic referendum: Yes 55.6
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 60.6

Sitting member: Hon Paul Fletcher (Liberal): Elected 2009 by-election, 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 13.4%
2009 by-election Liberal majority over Greens: 14.8%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 18.2%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 20.8%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 21.0%

Status: Very safe Liberal

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Tony Adams
    Australian Greens
    2. Hon Paul Fletcher
    Liberal Party
    3. Marcus Versace
    United Australia Party
    4. Stephen Molloy
    Sustainable Australia
    5. Chris Haviland
    Australian Labor Party



    Candidate websites:

    Tony Adams
    Hon Paul Fletcher
    Chris Haviland

    Division of Bradfield

    Bradfield was created in 1949, occupying the upper-class heartland of Sydney's North Shore. Since then it has expanded somewhat to the north-west, into slightly less aristocratic areas, but it still has the second-highest median income level of any seat, and has the second-highest proportion of people in professional and managerial occupations. This has always made Bradfield one of the safest Liberal seats in Australia, and indeed on the 2016 election figures it has reclaimed from Mitchell its place as the safest of all. Bradfield is becoming inccreasingly multi-cultural, with 15% of residents claiming Chinese ancestry, without much changing its viting behaviour.

    The first member for Bradfield was former Prime Minister Billy Hughes, the longest-serving member of the Australian Parliament, who had previously been MP for North Sydney in the same region. Dr Brendan Nelson, who won Bradfield in 1996 only three years after leaving the Labor Party, was Defence Minister in the Howard Government and a short-lived Leader of the Liberal Party after the 2007 election defeat.

    Paul Fletcher, Liberal MP for Bradfield since the 2009 by-election which followed Nelson's resignation, was an adviser to Liberal ministers and Director of Corporate and Regulatory Affairs with Optus before entering politics. He was expected to gain rapid promotion and has done so: he became a parliamentary secretary in 2013 and is now Minister for Families and Social Services.

    Labor's candidate is Chris Haviland, who was MP for Macarthur 1993-96 but now lives in Bradfield. The Greens candidate is Tony Adams, who until recently was Head of Global Fixed Interest at Colonial First State.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $2,341 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 17.0% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 53.4% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: Chinese 15.0%
    Non-English-speaking households: 38.1% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 18.9% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 31.9% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 47.2% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 58.0% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 11.2% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 35.3% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 24.2% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 45.7% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Rt Hon Billy Hughes (Lib) 1949-52
    Henry Turner (Lib) 1952b-74
    David Connolly (Lib) 1974-96
    Hon Dr Brendan Nelson (Lib) 1996-2009
    Hon Paul Fletcher (Lib) 2000b-

    Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:




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