Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Bendigo, Victoria

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Central Victoria: Bendigo, Castlemaine, Heathcote, Maldon, Woodend
State seats: All of Bendigo West, parts of Bendigo East, Euroa and Macedon
Local government areas: All of Greater Bendigo and Mount Alexander, parts of Macedon Ranges and Mitchell
Enrolment at close of rolls: 112,801
1999 republic referendum: No 61.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 68.7

Sitting member: Lisa Chesters (Labor): Elected 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 6.1%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 9.5%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.3%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.7%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 3.9%

Status: Very marginal Labor

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Sharon Budde
    Rise Up Australia
    2. Dr Robert Holian
    Australian Greens
    3. Lisa Chesters
    Australian Labor Party
    4. Adam Vietch
    United Australia Party
    5. Sam Gayed
    Liberal Party
    6. Vaughan Williams
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    7. Julie Hoskin
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party



    Candidate websites:

    Lisa Chesters
    Sam Gayed
    Dr Robert Holian
    Adam Vietch
    Vaughan Williams

    Division of Bendigo

    Bendigo has existed since Federation and has always occupied a block of territory in central Victoria around the historic goldfields city. Like most country seats, it combines a fairly low income level with a very low proportion of people born in non English speaking countries. From 1937 to 1949 it included Echuca and the Murray Valley and was a safe Country Party seat, but for the rest of its history it has been politically marginal.

    In recent times the seat has been trending towards Labor as the area is colonised by wealthy professionals from Melbourne: even in the Liberal landslide year of 1996, the Liberal majority was less than 1%. Labor's strength lies in the city of Bendigo and also in Castlemaine. The Liberals win most of the smaller rural booths.

    Bendigo's most distinguished member was Nationalist Prime Minister Billy Hughes, who held the seat from 1917 to 1922 before moving back to Sydney. John Brumby, later Premier of Victoria, held Bendigo for Labor from 1983 to 1990. Steve Gibbons won the seat for Labor in 1998 and held it until his retirement in 2013, although he had a close call in 2004.

    Lisa Chesters, Labor MP for Bendigo since 2013, was an organiser with the union United Voice for ten years before her election. At the 2013 election she survived a sharp swing to the Liberals, but this ground was partly recoverted in 2016. With a majority of 3.7% this is still a marginal seat, but probably not high on the Coalition's target list.

    The Liberal candidate is Sam Gayed, a chartered engineer and businessman. The Greens candidate is Dr Robert Holian, a Bendigo GP. The One Nation candidate is Vaughan Williams, about whom nothing is known. Former Bendigo Councillor July Hoskin, who led protests against a mosque in Bendigo, is running for Fraser Anning's Conservative National Party.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,188 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 18.9% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 82.9% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 5.5% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 20.8% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 37.6% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 18.3% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 33.3% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 27.7% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: 4.3% (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 36.0% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 25.0% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 27.9% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Sir John Quick (Prot, Lib) 1901-13
    John Arthur (ALP) 1913-14
    Alfred Hampson (ALP) 1915b-17
    Rt Hon Billy Hughes (Nat) 1917-22
    Geoffry Hurry (Nat) 1922-29
    Richard Keane (ALP) 1929-31
    Eric Harrison (UAP) 1931-37
    George Rankin (CP) 1937-49
    Hon Percy Clarey (ALP) 1949-60
    Noel Beaton (ALP) 1960b-69
    David Kennedy (ALP) 1969b-72
    John Bourchier (Lib) 1972-83
    John Brumby (ALP) 1983-90
    Hon Bruce Reid (Lib) 1990-98
    Steve Gibbons (ALP) 1998-2013
    Lisa Chesters (ALP) 2013-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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