Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Bean, Australian Capital Territory

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Southern Canberra: Kambah, Molonglo Valley, Tuggeranong, Weston Creek, Woden Valley
Territory seats: All of Brindabella, parts of Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee
Local government areas: None
Enrolment at close of rolls: 104,516

Sitting member: None

2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 8.9%

Status: Fairly safe Labor

  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Therese Faulkner
    Progressive Party
    2. Dr Jamie Christie
    Independent
    3. Ben Rushton
    The Great Australian Party
    4. Matt Donnelly
    Liberal Democrats
    5. Tony Hanley
    United Australia Party
    6. Ed Cocks
    Liberal Party
    7. David Smith
    Australian Labor Party
    8. Jonathan Davis
    Australian Greens



    Candidate websites:

    Dr Jamie Christie
    Ed Cocks
    Jonathan Davis
    David Smith

    Division of Bean

    Bean is a new seat created as a result of the Australian Capital Territory becoming eligible for a third seat from the 2019 election, as a result of Canberra's rapid growth. It covers the southern half of the old seat of Canberra, inluding the city's southern suburbs and the thinly-populated rural south of the territory, which is mostly national park. It is roughly analogous to the seat of Namadgi, which existed from 1996 to 1998, the last time the ACT qualified (briefly) for three seats.

    Like the rest of Canberra, Bean has a high proportion of government employees, a high level of income and a high level of education. However, it is less affluent and less public-service oriented than the other two ACT seats, Canberra and Fenner, and has a fairly high level of traditional families paying mortgages. It is likely to be more politically marginal than Canberra and Fenner, though still basically a Labor seat. The Liberals have not won a federal seat in the ACT since the Canberra by-election of 1995.

    Gai Brodtmann, Labor MP for Canberra since 2010, announced that she would be transferring to Bean at the 2019 election. But in August 2018 she announced that instead she would be retiring for personal reasons. Labor's candidate will be Senator David Smith, who inherited Katy Gallagher's Senate seat when she was knocked out by the High Court over section 44, but will now vacate that seat and transfer to the House. The Liberal candidate is Ed Cocks, a public servant. The Greens candidate is Jonathan Davis, who works in real estate.

    Demographics:

    Bean is a new seat and no demographic data are available. These data are for the ACT electorate of Brindabella, which covers much of the same territory.

    Median weekly household income: $2,075 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 11.3% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 2.4% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 75.6% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 18.0% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 27.0% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 31.8% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 23.6% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 36.1% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 18.0% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 46.5% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 22.1% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 38.4% (Australia 32.8%)

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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