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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Menzies, Victoria
Named for: Rt Hon Sir Robert Menzies (1894-1978), Vic MP 1928-34, federal MP 1934-66, Prime Minister 1939-41, 1949-66 (longest-serving prime minister)
Eastern Melbourne: Blackburn, Box Hill, Doncaster, Templestowe, Warrandyte
Enrolment at 2019 election: 107,834
Enrolment at 2022 election: 112,743 (+04.7)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 59.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 57.0
2023 Voice referendum: No 54.9
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.0%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.7%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 14.5%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.8%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.5%
2022 Liberal majority over Labor: 0.7%
2025 notional Labor majority over Liberal 0.5%
Status: Very marginal Labor
Liberal two-party vote 1984-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Division of Menzies
Menzies was created in 1984, when the old seat of
Diamond Valley,
a key marginal in the 1970s, was abolished. It took in the more middle-class and more Liberal-voting parts of the seat, based on Doncaster
and Templestowe, and subsequent redistributions have expanded it further to the east into new upper-income
suburbia such as Warrandyte. It has the high level of median family income and the high proportion of
people in professional and managerial occupations typical of such seats, while also having a higher level of families with
dependent children and of dwellings being purchased than inner-city upper-income seats like Kooyong. It also
has quite a high proportion of non English speaking households, mainly recent arrivals from China.
Although Menzies was seriously contested in the 1980s, it grew stronger for the Liberals as the area grew wealthier. Members for Menzies have been
Neil Brown (previously member for Diamond Valley and a
minister in the Fraser Government) and
Kevin Andrews, who won the 1991 by-election which followed Brown's
resignation. Andrews was on the opposition front bench from 1992 and was a minister in the Howard Government, ending as
Minister for Immigration. He was an opposition frontbencher from 2009 to 2013, and successively Minister for
Social Services and Minister for Defence in the Abbott Government. In 2021 he was defeated for Liberal preselection.
Keith Wolahan, Liberal MP for Menzies since 2022, was a barrister and a decorated
Army officer before entering politics.
The 2021 and 2024 redistributions both moved Menzies southwards, taking in Labor-leaning areas in Blackburn and Box Hill,
previously in Chisholm, while removing Liberal areas such as Park Orchards and Ringwood North. As a result of the 2024 redistribution, Menzies
now has a small notional Labor majority.
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