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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Hughes, New South Wales
Named for: Rt Hon Billy Hughes (1862-1952), NSW MP 1894-1901, federal MP 1901-52 (longest-serving MP), Prime Minister 1915-23
Southern Sydney: Engadine, Heathcote, Macquarie Fields, Menai, Moorebank
Enrolment at 2019 election: 106,204
Enrolment at 2022 election: 107,279 (+01.1)
1999 republic referendum: No 50.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 58.4
2023 Voice referendum: No 58.5
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Sitting member: Jenny Ware (Liberal): Elected 2022
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2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.2%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.2%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.7%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 9.3%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 9.8%
2022 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.0%
2025 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 3.5%
Status: Very marginal Liberal
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Jenny Ware
Liberal Party |
Division of Hughes
Hughes was created in 1955, as a seat based on the Sutherland Shire and the mining communities on the coast
between Sydney and Woollongong. It also usually included some Woollongong suburbs. On these boundaries it
was a fairly safe Labor seat, although it was lost to the Liberals in 1966 (when all of the present seat of
Cook
was in the seat). The 1984 redistribution, however, moved the seat north, making it an entirely
Sutherland-based seat and politically marginal. This put Hughes in the top 10% of electorates for median
family income. It also has one of the highest proportions of families with dependent children and dwellings
being purchased of any electorate: it is thus a high-income mortgage belt seat, full of young families with
high incomes but high mortgages.
Hughes was held by two Labor ministers,
Les Johnson in the Whitlam Government and
Robert Tickner in the
Keating Government, but the Liberals won it in
John Howard's sweep of the Sydney marginals in 1996, and have
held it ever since, despite a close call in 2007.
Danna Vale, who won Hughes in 1996, was a Howard favourite
and had a brief and unhappy ministerial career before retiring in 2010.
Craig Kelly, who won Hughes in 2010, became a backbench dissident under
Malcolm Turnbull, supporting former PM
Tony Abbott's positions on climate and energy policy. His comments on
both climate and the COVID pandemic became more extreme, and in February 2021 he resigned from the Liberal Party and joined Clive Palmer's United Australia Party. Palmer made Kelly nominal leader of the
UAP and rather absurdly proclaimed him to be the "next Prime Minister of Australia." At the 2022 election, Kelly polled 7.4% of the vote.
Jenny Ware, Liberal MP for Hughes since 2022, is a lawyer who was Director of
Legal Services for Georges River Council. The 2024 redistribution has moved the seat westwards, adding Labor territory around Ingleburn
and Macquarie Fields. This had sharply reduced the Liberal majority.
Boundaries following most recent redistribution:
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