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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Aston, Victoria
Named for: Matilda "Tilly" Aston (1873-1947), blind writer and teacher
Eastern Melbourne: Boronia, Ferntree Gully, Knox, Scoresby, Wantirna
Enrolment at 2019 election: 110,342
Enrolment at 2022 election: 109,785 (-00.5)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 51.6
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 62.0
2023 Voice referendum: No 57.9
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Sitting member: Mary Doyle (Labor):
Elected 2023 by-election
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2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.1%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.8%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.2%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.6%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.1%
2022 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.8%
2023 by-election Labor majority over Liberal: 4.6%
2025 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 2.6%
2022 Status: Very marginal Liberal
2023 by-election status: Marginal Labor
2022 results
2023 by-election results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Manny Cicchiello
Liberal Party |
Mary Doyle
Australian Labor Party |
Division of Aston
Aston was created in 1984, in Melbourne's eastern suburbs, centred on the fast-growing City of Knox and new wealthy
areas such as Wantirna and Lysterfield. It has a very high proportion of families with dependent children and dwellings
being purchased, indications of traditional families paying high mortgages. This is a high-income mortgage belt seat,
without the high concentration of people in professional occupations that marks wealthy seats closer to the city centre.
These factors explain why Aston changed from a marginal seat in the 1980s to the safest Liberal seat in metropolitan
Melbourne in 2004. There are still a few Labor-voting areas around Boronia on the north-eastern edge of the seat.
The seat's boundaries have not been affected by the 2021 redistribution.
Aston's first member, John Saunderson (Labor - he had
previously been member for
Deakin from 1983 to 1984) was defeated
in 1990 by Peter Nugent (Liberal), and the seat has got steadily better for the Liberals since. Nugent died in 2001 and
was succeeded by Chris Pearce, who easily held the seat until he retired in 2010.
Alan Tudge, Liberal MP for Aston from 2010 to 2023, was a lawyer, consultant and ministerial
adviser (to Alexander Downer) before his election. He became a parliamentary secretary in 2013 and Minister for
Minister for Cities, Urban Infrastructure and Population in 2018. He joined the Cabinet in 2019 and became
Minister for Education and Youth. In December 2021 he resigned after allegations of domestic violence, which he denied.
In March 2023 Tudge resigned from Parliament. The subsequent by-election was won by Labor's
Mary Doyle, an organiser with the National Tertiary Education Union, with a 7.4% swing to Labor. This was the first time since 1921 that an
incumbent government had taken an opposition seat at a by-election. Aston has been only slightly altered by the 2024
redistribution. The Liberal candidate is Manny Cicchiello, a school Deputy Principal and former Mayor of Knox.
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