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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Wills, Victoria
Named for: William Wills (1834-61), explorer (with Burke) of central
Australia
Northern Melbourne: Brunswick, Coburg, Glenroy, Fawkner, Pascoe Vale
State seats: Parts of
Broadmeadows,
Brunswick and
Pascoe Vale
Local government areas: Parts of
Moreland
Borders with:
Calwell,
Cooper,
Maribyrnong and
Melbourne
Enrolment at 2019 election: 110,682
Enrolment at 2022 election: 108,500 (-02.0)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 58.7
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 70.0
Sitting member: Peter Khalil (Labor):
Elected 2016, 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 22.4%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 22.6%
2013 Labor majority over Greens: 15.2%
2016 Labor majority over Greens: 4.9%
2019 Labor majority over Greens: 8.2%
2019 notional Labor majority over Greens: 8.2%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 25.9%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Fairly safe Labor versus Greens
Status: Very safe Labor versus Liberal
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Glenroy (74.4), Fawkner North (74.0), Gowrie park (73.4),
Fawkner East (72.6), Glenroy PPVC (70.2)
Best Greens booths, two-party vote: Merri (69.3), Anstey (56.4), Brunswick North East (55.7),
Brunswick South (55.0), Brunswick East (53.4)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Tom Wright
Liberal Party |
2. Jill Tindal
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
3. Emma Black
Victorian Socialists |
4. Sam Sergi
Australian Federation Party |
5. Sue Bolton
Socialist Alliance |
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6. Irene Zivkovic
United Australia Party |
7. Peter Khalil
Australian Labor Party |
8. Leah Horsfall
Animal Justice Party |
9. Sarah Jefford
Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Emma Black
Sue Bolton
Leah Horsfall
Sarah Jefford
Peter Khalil
Sam Sergi
Tom Wright
Irene Zivkovic
Division of Wills
Wills was created in 1949, in Melbourne's working-class northern suburbs, originally based on Coburg. Successive
redistributions have expanded it, mainly to the north, without changing its social or political character. The southern
part of the seat is now being colonised by upper-income professionals, which explains the seat's relatively high median
family income, and also its high level of graduates and of people in professional and managerial occupations. The seat
has a high proportion of non
English speaking households, and in recent years has acquired a significant Muslim population, mainly Turkish-Australians.
Wills has always
been a safe Labor seat and has never been won by the non-Labor side, although it has elected an independent. The seat has been only slightly
altered by the 2021 redistribution.
The most eminent member for Wills has been
Bob Hawke, the longest-serving Labor Prime Minister, who held it from
1980 to 1991. Hawke never lived in the electorate and neglected it while he was PM. Following his
resignation it was won by an independent,
Phil Cleary, a popular local figure. Cleary's election was found to be
invalid, but he returned to win again in 1993. He was defeated in 1996 by Labor's
Kelvin Thomson. Thomson was a
Parliamentary Secretary in the Rudd-Gillard government and retired in 2016.
Peter Khalil, Labor MP for Wills since 2016, is of Egyptian Christian background, and served in Iraq as Director of National
Security Policy for the Coalition Provisional Authority, for which he was awarded the Australian Overseas Humanitarian
Service medal. He was a foreign policy and national security adviser to
Kevin Rudd, and then Director of
Corporate Affairs, Strategy and Communications at SBS, and an Adjunct Associate Professor at the Centre for International
Security Studies at Sydney University.
In 2013 the Greens came second in Wills, although Labor's margin was a hefty 15.2%. In 2016, with a new Labor candidate, that
margin was cut to 4.9%, but rose again to 8.2% in 2019. As in neighbouring Cooper, the Greens have benefitted from the increasing
gentrification of the southern part of the seat, around Brunswick, but have been unable to extend their appeal to the more
working-class and multicultural voters in northern suburbs such as Fawkner, Glenroy and Pascoe Vale. The Liberal
candidate is Tom Wright, an environmental consultant. The Greens candiate is
Sarah Jefford, a lawyer specialising in surrogacy issues.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,515 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 13.7% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 59.7% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Italian 11.8%
Non-English-speaking households: 40.6% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 27.1% (Australia 22.6%)
Muslim 9.5%, Orthodox Christian 6.3%
No religion 32.2% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 33.7% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 43.6% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 18.4% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 28.9% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 37.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 29.0% (Australia 32.8%)
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