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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Maribyrnong, Victoria
Named for: Maribyrnong River (Indigenous word meaning "edible root")
Western Melbourne: Ascot Vale, Avondale Heights, Essendon, Niddrie, Tullamarine
State seats: All of
Essendon, parts of
Melbourne
Niddrie and
Sunbury
Local government areas: All of
Moonee Valley, parts of
Brimbank,
Hume,
Melbourne and
Moreland
Borders with:
Calwell,
Fraser,
Gorton,
Hawke,
Melbourne and
Wills
Enrolment at 2019 election: 112,879
Enrolment at 2022 election: 109,030 (-03.4)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 56.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 59.9
Sitting member: Hon Bill Shorten (Labor):
Elected 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 15.3%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 16.9%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.4%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.3%
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.2%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 10.3%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Fairly safe Labor
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Flemington (85.4), Ascot Vale (83.9), Kensington (76.3),
Ascot Vale East (74.5), Moonee Ponds West (72.5)
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Buckley Park (51.4), Essendon West (50.5), Essendon (50.2),
Essendon PPVC (47.9), Keilor South (46.2)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Mark Hobart
Great Australian Party |
2. Daniel Dadich
Victorian Socialists |
3. Hon Bill Shorten
Australian Labor Party |
4. Jodie Tindal
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
5. Darren Besanko
United Australia Party |
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6. Mira D'Silva
Liberal Party |
7. Rhonda Pryor
Australian Greens |
8. Alexander Ansalone
Australian Federation Party |
9. Cameron Smith
Liberal Democrats |
Candidate websites:
Alexander Ansalone
Darren Besanko
Mira D'Silva
Mark Hobart
Daniel Nair Dadich
Rhonda Pryor
Hon Bill Shorten
Cameron Smith
Division of Maribyrnong
Maribyrnong was created in 1906, and at various times has covered most of the western and north-western suburbs of
Melbourne. In 1949 it was cut back to the area around Essendon, but later it expanded to the west to take in
newer suburbs such as Sunshine and St Albans. The 2018 redistribution created the new St Albans-based seat of
Fraser,
pushing Maribyrnong to the south-east, taking territory from
Melbourne and
Wills
Maribyrnong is a solidly working-class seat, with 17% of its workforce engaged in manufacturing and a high proportion of
people born in non English speaking countries. It is also the second-most Catholic electorate in Australia (35.0%), a fact of
considerable importance in its history.
Maribyrnong has been held by the Labor Party for most of its history, the only significant exception being the period
from 1955 to 1969, when the Democratic Labor Party, with its base among working-class Catholics, directed its preferences
to the Liberals, enabling them to win the seat. Members for Maribyrnong include Labor ministers
Arthur Drakeford,
Dr Moss Cass and
Alan Griffiths.
Bob Sercombe won the seat in 1996, but lost his preselection in a coup organised by the Labor Unity faction in 2006.
His successor was Bill Shorten, the national secretary of the Australian Workers Union, who has held it safely since.
Bill Shorten, Labor MP for Maribyrnong since 2007, worked for
Gareth Evans,
Bill Landeryou and other Labor figures and as a
lawyer for Maurice Blackburn, a leading Labor law firm. He became Victorian State Secretary of the AWU in 1998 and National
Secretary in 2001. He gained a national reputation at the time of the 2006 Beaconsfield mine disaster in Tasmania.
In 2007 Shorten entered Parliament. It was no secret that
Kevin Rudd saw him as a threat, and was determined not to promote him.
As a result, Shorten was one of the organisers of the June 2010 coup that replaced Rudd with
Julia Gillard. After the
2010 election he rose rapidly to Minister for Employment and Workplace Relations and Minister for Education. After the 2013
election won the Labor leadership, defeating
Anthony Albanese.
Shorten's dogged 2016 campaign saw Labor gain 14 seats and reduce the Turnbull government to a one-seat majority. This boosted
Shorten's standing and enabled him to survive for the next three years in opposition. He was widely expected to win the 2019
election, and most polls supported this view, but
Scott Morrison was able successfully to exploit fears about Labor's
policies on taxation and climated change and retain government. Shorten then resigned as leader. He is now
Shadow Minister for the National Disability Insurance Scheme and for Government Services
After the 2018 redistrubution Shorten had the option of moving to the new ultra-safe seat of Fraser, but opted to remain
in Maribyrnong, despite its reduced Labor majority. The 2021 redistribution has extended the seat nothwards and again cut the
Labor majority. But this is still a safe Labor seat and Shorten is unlikely to be troubled. The Liberal candidate is
Mira D'Silva, who runs an IT recruitment company. The Greens candidate is Rhonda Pryor,
a senior manager in aged care and disability services.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,405 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 15.7% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 53.7% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Vietnamese 10.1%, Italian 9.7%
Non-English-speaking households: 48.6% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 35.0% (Australia 22.6%)
Buddhism: 8.3%
No religion 21.8% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 24.0% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 35.1% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 22.5% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 28.8% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 31.4% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 34.6% (Australia 32.8%)
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