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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Grayndler, New South Wales
Named for: Edward Grayndler (1867-1943), trade union leader, NSW MP
1921-43
Inner Sydney: Asfield, Balmain, Leichhardt, Marrickville, Petersfield
State seats: Parts of
Balmain,
Canterbury,
Heffron,
Newtown,
Summer Hill and
Sydney
Local government areas: Parts of
Canterbury-Bankstown and
Inner West
Borders with:
Barton,
Kingsford Smith,
Reid,
Sydney and
Watson
Enrolment at 2019 election: 109,567
Enrolment at 2022 election: 109,927 (+00.3)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 64.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 79.9
Sitting member: Hon Anthony Albanese (Labor):
Elected 1996, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 24.9%
2010 Labor majority over Greens: 4.2%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 20.3%
2016 Labor majority over Greens: 15.8%
2019 Labor majority over Greens: 16.3%
2019 Notional Labor majority over Liberals: 23.8%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Safe Labor versus Greens
Status: Very safe Labor versus Liberal
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Haberfield (79.5), Marrickville East (73.9), Ashfield PPVC (73.7),
Dobroyd Point (73.2), Balmain (73.1)
Best Greens booths, two-party vote: Newtown East (45.4), Camperdown South (45.1), Annadale Central (44.0),
Newtown North (44.0), Petersham East (41.0)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. David Smith
United Australia Party |
2. Hon Anthony Albanese
Australian Labor Party |
3. Ben Zhang
Liberal Party |
4. James Haggerty
Fusion Party |
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5. Sarina Kilham
Independent |
6. Paul Henselin
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
7. Michael Dello-Iacovo
Animal Justice Party |
8. Rachael Jacobs
Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Hon Anthony Albanese
Michael Dello-Iacovo
James Haggerty
Rachael Jacobs
Sarina Kilham
David Smith
Division of Grayndler
Grayndler was created in 1949, based in Sydney's inner western suburbs centred on Marrickville. Its boundaries have been
changed fairly radically several times since, but in 2010 they returned to something close to their original form. The
2016 redistribution extended it north to take in the Balmain peninsula for the first time. In the 1950s these areas were
still among the poorest parts of urban Australia, verging on being slums. Today this is one of the wealthiest electorates in
Australia, with a young population, a high proportion of graduates, more
than half the population working in professional and managerial occupations and a level of median family income in the top 20%.
Nearly 30% of residents were born in non English speaking countries.
What has not changed is the strength of the Labor vote, although much of it now comes in the form of preferences from the
Greens. In two-party terms, Grayndler is one of the safest Labor electorates in Australia, but the real threat to Labor comes
from the Greens, who now dominate this area at state level. They polled 22.6% of the vote here in 2019, to Labor's 50.9%.
The Greens came second in 2010, fell back to third in 2013, and came back to second in 2016.
Past members for Grayndler include Labor veteran and minister
Fred Daly, minister
Jeannette McHugh and Speaker of the
House
Leo McLeay.
Anthony Albanese, Labor MP for Grayndler since 1996, was born in Sydney to an Italian father and an Irish mother, and raised by
his mother in public housing. He studied economics and worked for a union, joining the Left faction of the Labor Party. He worked
for the veteran Left MP
Tom Uren, before becoming Assistant General Secretary of the NSW Labor Party in 1989. In 1995 he
became senior adviser to NSW Premier
Bob Carr, before entering Parliament in 1996. After serving as a senior minister throughout
the Rudd-Gillard Government, he was Deputy Prime Minister for three months before the 2013 election. Albanese is a leader of the
Labor Party's Left faction. After the 2013 election he was the Left's candidate for the leadership, but was defeated by
Bill Shorten.
After Labor's unexpected defeat in 2019, Shorten resigned and Albanese was elected unopposed to the leadership, becoming the
first Labor leader from the Left.* As leader he has inevitably proved a disappointment to the Left members who elected him. He has
struggled to gain traction against the Morrison government, and in late 2020 there was serious talk of a leadership challenge from
the Right. Nothing came of this, and Labor seems to have accepted that Albanese will lead the party at the coming election.
Grayndler is always near the top of the Greens' target list, and the 2016 redistribution improved their position by
adding the Greens stronghold of Balmain. In both 2016 and 2019 they failed to take advantage of this, partly because their
socialist candidate, Jim Casey, was too far left even for Balmain. Albanese's prestige as Labor leader is probably sufficient to
keep him safe from the Greens, although they could win the seat when he retires. The Liberal candidate is Wenjie Zhang, a Chinese medicine
practitioner. The Greens candidate is Rachael Jacobs,
senior Lecturer in Creative Arts Education at Western Sydney University.
*
Julia Gillard was a member of the Victorian Left when she was elected to Parliament in 1998, but by the time she became
leader in 2010 she was no longer factionally aligned.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $2,093 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 11.9% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 59.1% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 5.0%
Non-English-speaking households: 29.5% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 22.7% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 40.7% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 42.6% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 55.3% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 12.9% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 28.8% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 43.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 27.3% (Australia 32.8%)
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