Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Bradfield, New South Wales

Named for: Dr John Bradfield (1867-1943), designer of the Sydney Harbour Bridge


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Northern Sydney: Chatswood, Gordon, Lindfield, St Ives, Wahroonga
State seats: Parts of Davidson, Hornsby and Ku-Ring-Gai
Local government areas: All of Ku-Ring-Gai, parts of Hornsby, and Willoughby
Borders with: Bennelong, Berowra, Mackellar, North Sydney and Warringah
Enrolment at 2019 election: 107,366
Enrolment at 2022 election: 108,573 (+01.1)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 55.6
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 60.6


Sitting member: Hon Paul Fletcher (Liberal): Elected 2009 by-election, 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019

2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 13.4%
2009 by-election Liberal majority over Greens: 14.8%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 18.2%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 20.8%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 21.0%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 16.6%

Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019

Status: Very safe Liberal

Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Turramurra Valley (77.0), St Ives PPVC (76.1), Wahroonga South (75.5), St Ives East (74.6), North Wahroonga (74.0)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Hornsby East (50.8), Hornsby (46.6), Asquith (45.9), Chatswood West (44.2), Hornsby Central (44.0)


  • 2019 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Nicolette Boele
    Voices of Bradfield
    2. David Bridgen
    Australian Labor Party
    3. Martin Cousins
    Australian Greens
    4. Janine Kitson
    Independent
    5. Rob Fletcher
    United Australia Party
    6. Hon Paul Fletcher
    Liberal Party
    7. Michael Lowe
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation

    Candidate websites:

    Nicolette Boele
    David Bridgen
    Martin Cousins
    Hon Paul Fletcher
    Rob Fletcher
    Janine Kitson

    Division of Bradfield

    Bradfield was created in 1949, occupying the upper-class heartland of Sydney's North Shore, one of the wealthiest areas in Australia. Since then it has expanded somewhat to the north-west, into slightly less aristocratic areas, but it still has the second-highest median income level of any seat, and has the second-highest proportion of people in professional and managerial occupations. This has always made Bradfield one of the safest Liberal seats in Australia, although it has been overtaken by neighbouring Mitchell as the safest of all. Bradfield is becoming inccreasingly multi-cultural, with 15% of residents claiming Chinese ancestry, without so far much changing its voting behaviour.

    The first member for Bradfield was former Prime Minister Billy Hughes, the longest-serving member of the Australian Parliament, who had previously been MP for North Sydney in the same region. Dr Brendan Nelson, who won Bradfield in 1996 only three years after leaving the Labor Party, was Defence Minister in the Howard Government and a short-lived Leader of the Liberal Party after the 2007 election defeat.

    Paul Fletcher, Liberal MP for Bradfield since the 2009 by-election which followed Nelson's resignation, was an adviser to Liberal ministers and Director of Corporate and Regulatory Affairs with Optus before entering politics. He was expected to gain rapid promotion and has done so: he became a parliamentary secretary in 2013 and is now Minister for Communications, Urban Infrastructure, Cities and the Arts. His only opponent so far is Nicolette Boele of the Voices of Bradfield group.


    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $2,341 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 17.0% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 53.4% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: Chinese 15.0%
    Non-English-speaking households: 38.1% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 18.9% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 31.9% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 47.2% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 58.0% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 11.2% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 35.3% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 24.2% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 45.7% (Australia 32.8%)



    Gallery of Members for Bradfield



    Boundaries following most recent redistribution:



    See full-size map of this Division



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