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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Bonner, Queensland
Named for: Neville Bonner (1922-99), first Indigenous Senator
Southside Brisbane: Chandler, Manly, Wishart, Wynnum
State seats: All of
Lytton, parts of
Bulimba,
Chatsworth,
Greenslopes,
Mansfield,
Redcliffe and
Toohey
Local government areas: Brisbane
Borders with:
Bowman,
Griffith,
Moreton and
Rankin
Enrolment at 2019 election: 104,610
Enrolment at 2022 election: 109,169 (+04.4)
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 62.0
Sitting member: Ross Vasta (Liberal):
Elected 2004. Defeated 2007. Elected 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 4.5%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.8%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.7%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.3%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.4%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Mansfield North (72.8), Rochedale (69.4), Belmont East (69.2),
Gumdale (67.1), Carina Heights (66.9)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Murarrie (58.4), Mount Gravatt East (57.2), Wynnum North (54.9),
Wynnum West (55.3), Mount Gravatt (51.9)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Ross Vasta Liberal Party |
2. Amanda Neal Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
3. Dr Serge Diklitch United Australia Party |
4. Tabatha Young Australian Labor Party |
5. Bernard Lakey Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Dr Serge Diklitch
Bernard Lakey
Amanda Neal
Ross Vasta
Tabatha Young
Division of Bonner
Bonner was created in 2004 from parts of the Labor-held seats of
Bowman and
Griffith
in Brisbane's eastern suburbs. The
northern part of the seat around Manly and Wynnum is traditional Labor territory, and Labor also has some strength around
Mt Gravatt at the south-western end of the seat. But in between are strongly Liberal areas such as Belmont, Gumdale and
Mansfield. The seat occupies the mid range on most key demographic indicators: it is not really a mortgage belt seat, like
Bowman to the east, nor is it a multicultural inner-city seat like Griffith to the west.
In 2004 the sitting Labor member for Bowman, former minister
Con Sciacca, was expected to win this new seat, but he
became a victim of Mark Latham's lack of appeal to suburban voters in Queensland and was defeated by Ross Vasta. But
in 2007 the surge of support for Labor under the leadership of
Kevin Rudd (MP for neighbouring Griffith) saw Vasta
defeated by former Brisbane councillor
Kerry Rea. In 2010, with Rudd gone, Vasta won the seat back, and he increased his
majority in 2013. There was only a slight swing back to Labor in 2016. The seat was not changed by the 2018
redistribution. There was a strong swing to the Liberals in 2019.
Ross Vasta, Liberal MP for Bonner 2004-07 and since 2010, is a former marketing manager. He has been an inconspicuous
member and has not gained promotion despite the high turnover on the Liberal front bench in recent years. The Labor
candidate is Tabatha Young, Chief Executive Officer of the Aboriginal Family Legal Service Southern Queensland. The Greens
candidate is Bernard Lakey, an accountant.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,742 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 14.7% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 67.5% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 20.8% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 23.7% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 28.2% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 26.5% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 38.6% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 22.7% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 37.3% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 28.2% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 37.1% (Australia 32.8%)
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