Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Wannon, Victoria

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Western Victoria: Colac, Hamilton, Portland, Stawell, Warrnambool
State seats: All of South-West Coast, parts of Buninyong, Lowan, Polwarth and Ripon
Local government areas: All of Ararat, Corangamite, Glenelg, Moyne, Southern Grampians and Warrnambool, parts of Colac-Otway, Golden Plains, Northern Grampians and Pyrenees
Enrolment at close of rolls: 114,617
1999 republic referendum: No 64.5
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 61.0

Sitting member: Hon Dan Tehan (Liberal): Elected 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.5%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.3%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.1%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 9.0%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 9.3%

Status: Fairly safe Liberal

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Zephlyn Taylor
    Australian Greens
    2. Joshua Wallace
    United Australia Party
    3. Maurice Billi
    Australian Labor Party
    5. Alex Dyson
    Independent
    5. Hon Dan Tehan
    Liberal Party



    Candidate websites:

    Hon Dan Tehan

    Division of Wannon

    Wannon has existed since Federation, and has always occupied the Western District in the south-western corner of Victoria, one of Australia's wealthiest agricultural areas, with an economy based on wool-growing. Until the 1950s the area had a large rural working class and also many small farmers, who provided a voting base for Labor, and the seat was frequently marginal. Since the 1960s it has become increasingly conservative. It still has a high proportion of its workforce engaged in agriculture (20.5%, the 4th highest in the country), and the 4th lowest proportion of non English-speaking households of any electorate. There is some Labor vote in Portland and Warrnambool, but Hamilton and the rural parts of the seat are overwhelmingly Liberal.

    Wannon's most eminent member has been Prime Minister Malcolm Fraser, who won the seat from Labor in 1955 at his second try, and went on to consolidate the seat for the Liberals, greatly helped by the Labor Split of the 1950s and Labor's demographic decline in the area. He was succeeded by David Hawker, who was Speaker of the House from 2004 to 2007. He retired in 2010.

    Dan Tehan, Liberal MP for Wannon since 2010, is the son of Marie Tehan, who was a state minister in the 1990s. He was a public servant, diplomat and ministerial adviser before his election. He was also deputy state director of the Victorian Liberal Party. He has been rapidly promoted and was Minister for Social Services in the Turnbull ministry. In August 2018 he was promoted to Minister for Education in the Morrison ministry.

    The Labor candidate is Maurice Billi, youth service coordinator at Grampians Community Health in Stawell.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,043 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 21.9% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 83.4% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 4.1% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 23.3% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 31.5% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 12.0% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 33.2% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 24.5% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: 20.5% (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 30.5% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 23.8% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 25.7% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Samuel Cooke (FT) 1901-03
    Arthur Robinson (FT, AS) 1903-06
    John McDougall (Lab, ALP) 1906-13
    Arthur Rodgers (Lib, Nat) 1913-22
    John McNeill (ALP) 1922-25
    Hon Arthur Rodgers (Nat) 1925-29
    Hon John McNeill (ALP) 1929-31
    Thomas Scholfield (UAP) 1931-40
    Donald McLeod (ALP) 1940-49
    Daniel McKinnon (Lib) 1949-51
    Donald McLeod (ALP) 1951-55
    Rt Hon Malcolm Fraser (Lib) 1955-83
    David Hawker (Lib) 1983b-2010
    Hon Dan Tehan (Lib) 2010-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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