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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Rankin, Queensland
Southside Brisbane: Algester, Browns Plains, Springwood, Stretton, Woodridge
State seats: All of
Woodridge, parts of
Algester,
Springwood,
Stretton and
Waterford
Local government areas: Parts of Brisbane and Logan
Enrolment at close of rolls: 103,570
1999 republic referendum: No 62.2
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 54.6
Sitting member: Dr Jim Chalmers (Labor):
Elected 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.7%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 5.4%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 4.8%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.3%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 11.3%
Status: Fairly safe Labor
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Dr Jim Chalmers
Australian Labor Party |
2. Shaymal Reddy
United Australia Party |
3. Neil Cotter
Australian Greens |
4. Jesse Schneider
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
5. Peter Andrews
Fraser Anning's Conservative
National Party |
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6. Ric Davies
Liberal Democrats |
7. Clinton Pattison
Liberal Party |
8. Yusuf Mohammad
Independent |
Candidate websites:
Dr Jim Chalmers
Neil Cotter
Clinton Pattison
Division of Rankin
Rankin was created in 1984, and orginally extended from the south-western suburbs of Brisbane out into
rural areas as far as Warwick. Subsequent redistributions have greatly reduced it in area and shifted
it to the east, and it now occupies a block of suburbs in the fast-growing Logan region of southern
Brisbane. It is a low-income mortgage belt seat, combining a below-average median family income level and a
low proportion of people in professional and managerial occupations with a high level of families with dependent
children and dwellings being purchased.
Rankin has always been held by Labor but has rarely been secure. It was one of only two seats in
Queensland retained by Labor in the Liberal landslide of 1996, but the 1998 redistrubution made it
nominally Liberal, so Craig Emerson's retention of the seat that year counted as a Labor gain. The
subsequent two redistributions have further weakened Labor's position. The seat now consists of three
parts: strongly Liberal to the east of the Pacific Highway, strongly Labor in the central part area around
Woodridge, and marginal at the western end around Algester and Stretton.
Previous members for Rankin have been David Beddall, a minister in the Keating government, and Dr
Craig Emerson, elected in 1998. Emerson was on the Labor front bench from 2001, but as a prominent
Latham supporter he resigned after the 2004 defeat. He returned to the front bench in 2006 and was
a minister through the Rudd-Gillard Government. He resigned in 2013 rather than serve under the
returned Rudd, and retired at the 2013 election.
Dr Jim Chalmers, Labor MP for Rankin since 2013, was executive director of the Chifley Research Centre,
a Labor think-tank, before his election. He had previously been an adviser to several Labor ministers
including Bob Carr and Wayne Swan. He went straight on to the opposition front bench after the 2013
election and is now Shadow Minister for Finance.
The Liberal candidate is Clinton Pattison, a project manager in the building industry.
The Greens candidate is Neil Cotter, a librarian.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,431 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 10.3% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 2.8% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 57.1% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 6.4%
Non-English-speaking households: 31.0% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 17.7% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 28.0% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 16.6% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.3% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 27.5% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 39.1% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 35.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 39.8% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon David Beddall (ALP) 1984-98
Hon Dr Craig Emerson (ALP) 1998-2013
Dr James Chalmers (ALP) 2013-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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