Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Petrie, Queensland

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Northern Brisbane: Bracken Ridge, Bridgeman Downs, Deception Bay, Kippa-Ring, Redcliffe
State seats: Parts of Aspley, Bancroft, Murrumba, Redcliffe and Sandgate
Local government areas: Parts of Brisbane and Moreton Bay
Enrolment at close of rolls: 115,472
1999 republic referendum: No 60.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 61.6

Sitting member: Luke Howarth (Liberal): Elected 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 2.1%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 2.5%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 0.5%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.6%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 1.6%

Status: Very marginal Liberal

Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Bridgeman Downs (70.8), Scarborough North (62.9), Chermside PPVC (60.0), North Lakes PPVC (59.8), Aspley West (56.3)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Fitzgibbon (62.4), Deception Bay (62.1), Deception Bay South (60.3), Murrumba Downs (57.7), Kippa-Ring West (57.5)
  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Troy Hopkins
    United Australia Party
    2. Luke Howarth
    Liberal Party
    3. Nikhil Aai Reddy
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    4. Corinne Mulholland
    Australian Labor Party
    5. Neville Fowler
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    6. Jason Kennedy
    Australian Greens



    Candidate websites:

    Luke Howarth
    Jason Kennedy
    Corinne Mulholland
    Nikhil Aai Reddy

    Division of Petrie

    Petrie was created in 1949, and has changed very little since, consisting of a corridor of northern suburbs running out to the Redcliffe Peninsula. Recent redistributions have moved the seat northward, taking in Deception Bay while shedding Chermside and Stafford to the south. It has not been changed by the 2018 redistribution. Petrie has a stable, home-owning and ageing population, with a low proportion of families with dependent children for a suburban seat.

    Petrie has always been a marginal seat, which Labor won in 1961 and 1983, and from 1987 to 1996. Teresa Gambaro won the seat for the Liberals in 1996 and was a Parliamentary Secretary in the Howard Government. She was defeated in the Rudd sweep of Queensland in 2007 (in 2010 she returned as MP for Brisbane). Labor's Yvette D'Ath was a Parliamentary Secretary in the Rudd-Gillard Government. She was re-elected in 2010 but very narrowly defeated in 2013. (She landed on her feet by winning a state by-election in 2014, and is now Queensland Attorney-General.)

    Luke Howarth, Liberal MP for Petrie since 2013, who was re-elected with an increased majority in 2016, was a company director of a family business before entering politics.

    The Labor candidate in 2019 is Corinne Mulholland, executive officer at Moreton Bay Regional Council. The Greens candidate is Jason Kennedy, whose occupation is not stated. One Nation's candidate is Nikhil Aai Reddy, who works for the Queensland Department of Housing and Public Works.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,387 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 16.9% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 2.8% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 68.6% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 13.4% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 22.3% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 29.4% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 16.1% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 28.6% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 26.0% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 33.1% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 36.3% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 31.8% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Alan Hulme (Lib) 1949-61
    Reginald O'Brien (ALP) 1961-63
    Hon Sir Alan Hulme (Lib) 1963-72
    Marshall Cooke (Lib) 1972-74
    Hon John Hodges (Lib) 1974-83
    Deane Wells (ALP) 1983-84
    Hon John Hodges (Lib) 1984-87
    Hon Gary Johns (ALP) 1987-96
    Hon Teresa Gambaro (Lib) 1996-2007
    Hon Yvette d'Ath (ALP) 2007-13
    Luke Howarth (Lib) 2013-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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