Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Oxley, Queensland

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Western Brisbane: Camira, Forest Lake, Goodna, Inala, Jindalee
State seats: All of Inala, parts of Algester, Bundamba, Jordan, Mount Ommaney
Local government areas: Parts of Brisbane and Ipswich
Enrolment at close of rolls: 104,200
1999 republic referendum: No 65.4
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 60.3

Sitting member: Milton Dick (Labor): Elected 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 14.1%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 5.8%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.8%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 9.1%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 9.1%

Status: Fairly safe Labor

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Russell Bauer
    Liberal Party
    2. Steven Purcell
    Australian Greens
    3. Milton Dick
    Australian Labor Party
    4. Ian Ferguson
    United Australia Party
    5. Janet Lindblom
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    6. Mike Head
    Socialist Equality Party
    7. Scott Moreland
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party



    Candidate websites:

    Russell Bauer
    Milton Dick
    Steven Purcell

    Division of Oxley

    Oxley was created in 1949, based on the provincial city of Ipswich west of Brisbane, and adjoining rural areas (there was an earlier seat of Oxley in Brisbane from 1901 to 1934). The rapid industrialisation of Ipswich after World War II gradually changed what was a safe Liberal seat in the 1950s into a safe Labor seat in the 1980s. Successive three redistributions, however, have drawn Oxley eastwards into the suburbs of Brisbane. In 1998 half of Ipswich was shifted into the new seat of Blair, and in 2006 the rest of Ipswich followed. Oxley is now entirely a Brisbane suburban seat, and the addition of Liberal-voting suburbs such as Jindalee have substantially weakened it for Labor. Oxley is a low-income mortgage belt seat, with a high proportion of families with dependent children and dwellings being purchased, though not as high as in outer suburban seats.

    Bill Hayden, Leader of the Opposition from 1977 to 1983, Foreign Minister in the Hawke government, and later Governor-General, won Oxley in 1961 and made it a safe Labor seat. Pauline Hanson won Oxley as a disendorsed Liberal in 1996, and then formed an extreme right-wing party, One Nation. Following a redistribution, she stood for Blair in 1998 and was defeated. Oxley was then regained for Labor by Bernie Ripoll, who a parliamentary secretary in the Rudd-Gillard government, and retired in 2016.

    Milton Dick, Labor MP for Oxley since 2016, Queensland Labor State Secretary 2004-08, a Brisbane City Councillor 2008-16, and Labor Leader on the Council 2012-16. He is the brother of Hon Cameron Dick, a Queensland state minister.

    The Liberal candidate is Russell Bauer, an accountant. The Greens candidate in 2019 is Steven Purcell, a businessperson.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,551 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 10.2% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 3.1% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 59.1% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: Vietnamese 5.8%
    Non-English-speaking households: 29.8% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 20.3% (Australia 22.6%)
    Buddhist: 5.0%
    No religion 27.0% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 10.2% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 29.9% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 24.7% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 39.0% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 35.5% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 41.1% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Dr Hon Donald Cameron (Lib) 1949-61
    Hon Bill Hayden (ALP) 1961-88
    Les Scott (ALP) 1988-96
    Pauline Hanson (Ind, ON) 1996-98
    Hon Bernie Ripoll (ALP) 1998-2016
    Milton Dick (ALP) 2016-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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