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Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Moncrieff, Queensland

< Monash previous seat | next seat Moore >
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Gold Coast: Benowa, Mermaid Beach, Nerang, Southport, Surfers Paradise
State seats: All of Southport, parts of Bonney, Gaven, Mermaid Beach and Surfers Paradise
Local government areas: Parts of Gold Coast
Enrolment at close of rolls: 111,340
1999 republic referendum: No 61.0
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 63.8

Sitting member: Hon Steven Ciobo (Liberal): Elected 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016. Retiring 2019

2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 14.0%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 17.5%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 18.0%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 14.5%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 15.3%

Status: Safe Liberal

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Karla Freeman
    Animal Justice Party
    2. Angie Bell
    Liberal Party
    3. Vanessa Sibson
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    4. Sally Spain
    Australian Greens
    5. Garry Eilola
    United Australia Party
    6. Darren Long
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    7. Tracey Bell
    Australian Labor Party
    8. Sly Gryphon
    Liberal Democrats



    Candidate websites:

    Angie Bell
    Tracey Bell
    Sally Spain

    Division of Moncrieff

    Moncrieff was created in 1984, occupying the northern half of the Gold Coast tourism and retirement strip, centering on Surfers Paradise and Southport. Subsequent redistributions have moved the seat further to the south, without much changing its demographic or political character. It has a high level of people over 65, and the highest level of people employed in tourism of any seat. This means it is definitely not a mortgage belt seat. It has a very low proportion of families with dependent children and of dwellings being purchased, and 35% of its residents are flat-dwellers. Like the rest of the Gold Coast, Moncrieff is fairly safe for the federal Liberal Party, although Labor has won state seats on the Gold Coast in recent years.

    Moncrieff's first member, Kathy Sullivan, was elected to the Senate in 1974 and shifted to the House in 1984. She was a parliamentary secretary in the Howard Government, and by her retirement in 2001 she was the longest-serving female member in the history of the Parliament, although she later lost that title to Bronwyn Bishop.

    Steven Ciobo, Liberal MP for Moncrieff since 2001, was a consultant and ministerial adviser before he was elected at age 26. He was on the opposition frontbench from 2007 and was a parliamentary secretary from 2013. He was Minister for Trade and Investment in the Turnbull ministry. He supported Peter Dutton in the Liberal leadership ballots in August 2018, and was then demoted to Minister for Defence Industry in Scott Morrison's ministry. In March 2019 he announced that he would not stand again, leaving politics aged only 44.

    The new Liberal candidate is Angie Bell, a marketting professional and author. The Labor candidate in 2019 is Tracey Bell, director of a child-care centre. The Greens candidate is Sally Spain, whose occupation is not stated.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,254 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 18.5% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 59.5% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 18.8% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 21.3% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 31.6% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 19.0% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 31.4% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 23.0% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: % (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 27.8% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 41.4% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 22.6% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Kathy Sullivan (Lib) 1984-2001
    Hon Steven Ciobo (Lib) 2001-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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