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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Deakin, Victoria
Eastern Melbourne: Croydon, Heathmont, Mitcham, Ringwood, Vermont
State seats: Parts of
Bayswater,
Croydon,
Forest Hill and
Ringwood
Local government areas: All of Maroondah, parts of Whitehorse
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,534
1999 republic referendum: Yes 52.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 65.7
Sitting member: Hon Michael Sukkar (Liberal):
Elected 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.4%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 2.4%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.2%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.7%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 6.3%
Status: Marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Ringwood North (61.4), Ringwood PPVC (60.0),
Kalinda (59.9), Weeden Heights (59.7), Charlesworth Park (59.5)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Ringwood (53.9), Ringwood Heights (53.4), Heatherdale (51.9),
Glen Park (51.1), Nunawading South (50.8)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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 |
 |
 |
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1. Ellie Sullivan
Derryn Hinch's Justice Party |
2. Vickie Janson
Independent |
3. Sophia Sun
Australian Greens |
4. Hon Michael Sukkar
Liberal Party |
5. Milton Wilde
United Australia Party |
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6. Vinita Constantino
Animal Justice Party |
7. Dr Shireen Morris
Australian Labor Party |
8. Joel van der Horst
Labour DLP |
Candidate websites:
Dr Shireen Morris
Hon Michael Sukkar
Sophia Sun
Milton Wilde
Division of Deakin
Deakin was created in 1937, originally as a rural seat to the north-east of Melbourne, and has gradually been
reduced by successive redistributions to a block of suburbs centered on Mitcham and Ringwood. Despite being in the
outer suburbs, it is not a mortgage belt seat: it has an average level of families with dependent children and of
dwellings being purchased. Its higher-than-average level level of over-65s also suggest a stable, ageing population.
Deakin is remarkable for its social and political homogeneity: in both 2013 and 2016, the major parties each
polled between 45 and 60% of the two-party vote all but one booth. Nevertheless, Labor is somewhat stronger in
Mitcham, at the older, western end of the seat, while the Liberals are stronger in Croydon and Ringwood, at the
newer, eastern end, as well as Vermont in the siouth-west of the seat. The 2018 redistribution has removed Blackburn and added
some more Liberal-inclined territory at East Croydon and Bayswater, somewhat improving the Liberal position.
The seat's solidly middle-class, home-owning character has made it politically very stable. Since 1969 it has always
been a marginal seat, but Labor has only held it twice: in 1983, when the veteran Liberal member Alan Jarman stayed
on too long and lost to Labor's John Saunderson, and in the Rudd tide of 2007, when Labor's Mike Symon defeated
the sitting Liberal Phil Barresi. Symon was re-elected in 2010, but was defeated in the 2013 swing to the Liberals.
Michael Sukkar, Liberal MP for Deakin since 2013, is a lawyer and tax accountant. He was a senior associate with
one of Australia's largest law firms before entering politics. He is of Lebanese Christian descent. He was
comfortably re-elected in 2016. He was appointed Assistant Minister to the Treasurer in January 2017, but was dropped
by Prime Minister Morrison in August 2018, following his role as one of the main organisers of the campaign to
depose Malcolm Turnbull.
The Labor candidate in 2019 will be Dr Shireen Morris, a barrister, author and legal academic, currently a postdoctoral
fellow at Melbourne University Law School, and a senior adviser to the Cape York Institute. The Greens candidate is
Sophia Sun, who works in an aged care facility. Clive Palmer's candidate is
Milton Wilde, whose facebook page describes him as "Organiser for the Australian Conservatives in Eastern Victoria."
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,522 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 18.0% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 65.3% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 9.4%
Non-English-speaking households: 27.8% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 19.0% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 35.7% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 30.5% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 41.3% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 22.2% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: % (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 36.2% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 25.3% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 35.5% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
William Hutchinson (UAP, Lib) 1937-49
Frank Davis (Lib) 1949-66
Alan Jarman (Lib) 1966-83
John Saunderson (ALP) 1983-84
Julian Beale (Lib) 1984-90
Ken Aldred (Lib) 1990-96
Philip Barresi (Lib) 1996-2007
Mike Symon (ALP) 2007-13
Hon Michael Sukkar (Lib) 2013-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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