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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Cowan, Western Australia
Northern Perth: Ballajura, Beechboro, Girrawheen, Grenwood, Wanneroo
State seats: Parts of
Bassendean,
Girrawheen,
Kingsley,
Mirrabooka,
Wanneroo and
West Swan
Local government areas: Parts of Joondalup, Swan and Wanneroo
Enrolment at close of rolls: 98,668
1999 republic referendum: No 57.1
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 58.8
Sitting member: Dr Anne Aly (Labor):
Elected 2016
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.7%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.3%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.5%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.7%
Status: Very marginal Labor
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Madeley (64.5), Wanneroo West (60.0), Darch (58.7), Greenwood
(57.3), Waneroo PPVC (57.0)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Lockridge (73.7), Girrawheen East (66.8), Beechboro (65.6),
Koondoola (65.9), Beechboro East (64.8)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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 |
 |
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1. Mark Cooper
Australian Greens |
2. Anne Aly
Australian Labor Party |
3. Peter Wescott
United Australia Party |
4. Andre Lebrasse
Australian Christians |
5. Sheila Mundy
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
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6. Paul Bedford
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers |
7. Isaac Stewart
Liberal Party |
Candidate websites:
Dr Anne Aly
Mark Cooper
Isaac Stewart
Division of Cowan
Cowan was created in 1984, occupying a block of Perth's rapidly expanding northern suburbs. It is a typical
mortgage belt seat, with among the highest proportion of dwellings being purchased of any electorate,
and a high proportion of families with dependent children. Like all the Perth seats, it also has a large
number of immigrants from the UK, and also a fairly large number from non English speaking countries. The
strongest Labor vote is in the south of the seat, in suburbs around its stronhgold of Girrawheen, while the
Liberal strength is in the more westerly suburbs such as Wanneroo.
Graham Edwards, a former WA state minister who lost both legs in the Vietnam War, won Cowan in 1998, and held
it largely on his personal status. When he retired in 2007 the Liberal Luke Simpkins, an Australian Army
officer for 14 years, and later a secrity consultant and a ministerial adviser, won the seat, despite the
swing to Labor elsewhere. He increased the Liberal majority in both 2010 and 2013.
The 2016 redistribution removed a block of Liberal suburbs around Kingsley and Woodvale, and replaced
it with solid Labor territory at Beechboro and Kiara, formerly in the seat of Perth. The result was to
reduce the Liberal margin from 7.5% to 4.5%. This was, enough, combined with the swing against the Liberals across
WA at the 2016 election, to enable Labor to eke out a narrow win.
Dr Anne Aly, Labor MP for Cowan since 2016, was born in Egypt and came to Australia as a child. She has a
PhD in politics from Edith Cowan University and was a Professorial Research fellow there before her election. She
is an expert on Islamic extremism and was prominent in media debate. In 2016 she was awarded an Australian Security
Medal for her work against terrorism. She is the first Muslim woman elected to the Australian Parliament.
The Liberal candidate in 2019 will be Isaac Stewart, a student. Given the Liberal Party's poor recent polling in WA,
it is likely that
the party's priorities at the 2019 will be defending its own marginals, Hasluck, Pearce and Swan, rather than
trying to retake Cowan, despite its slender Labor majority.
The Greens candidate will be Mark Cooper, whose occupation is not stated. The One Nation candidate is Sheila Mundy,
who ran in 2013 for the extreme right-wing Rise Up Australia group.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,620 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 11.9% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 56.8% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 28.0% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 23.5% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 28.0% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 15.4% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.4% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 28.2% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 50.9% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 19.6% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 42.1% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Carolyn Jakobsen (ALP) 1984-93
Richard Evans (Lib) 1993-98
Hon Graham Edwards (ALP) 1998-2007
Luke Simpkins (Lib) 2007-16
Dr Anne Aly (ALP) 2016-
Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:
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