Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Clark, Tasmania

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Central Hobart: Claremont, Glenorchy, Hobart, Moonah, New Town
State seats: All of Clark (currently called Denison)
Local government areas: All of Glenorchy and Hobart, parts of Kingborough
Enrolment at close of rolls: 73,915
1999 republic referendum: Yes 52.4
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 73.8

Sitting member: Andrew Wilkie (independent): Elected 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 15.6% *
2010 Independent majority over Labor: 1.2% *
2013 Independent majority over Labor: 15.5% *
2016 Independent majority over Labor: 17.8% *
2016 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 15.3% *
2019 notional Independent majority over Labor: 17.8%

* as Denison


Status: Safe Independent

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Andrew Wilkie
    Independent
    2. Ben McGregor
    Australian Labor Party
    3. Amanda-Sue Markham
    Liberal Party
    4. Juniper Shaw
    Australian Greens
    5. Jim Starkey
    United Australia Party



    Candidate websites:

    Ben McGregor
    Amanda-Sue Markham
    Juniper Shaw
    Andrew Wilkie

    Division of Clark

    The seat of Clark, named Denison until the 2018 redistribution, has existed since Tasmania was first divided into electorates in 1903, and has always taken in the city of Hobart and its suburbs on the western shore of the Derwent River. Its boundaries have expanded and contracted over successive redistributions but the character of the seat has changed very little. Although it has a relatively low median income level, like all Tasmanian seats, it has a high proportion of people in professional and managerial occupations, and particularly, as both a state capital and a hub for Commonwealth administration, a high level of government employment. This contributed to the consolidation of the Labor vote from 1969 onwards, even as traditional blue-collar employment has disappeared from inner urban areas. Clark has the smallest proportion of Catholics of any seat in Australia.

    Members for Denison have included Liberal ministers Athol Townley and Michael Hodgman. Duncan Kerr won the seat for Labor in 1987. Denison used to be one of the most consistently marginal seats in the country (it has had 16 members, the equal highest number, with Bass and Bendigo), but Kerr held it for 23 years. He was a junior minister in the Keating government and a Parliamentary Secretary in the Rudd Government. Kerr retired in 2010, and Denison then produced a major upset by electing Andrew Wilkie, an independent.

    Andrew Wilkie, independent MP for Denison since 2010, is a former Army officer and analyst at the Office of National Assessments, who gained attention with his criticisms of the Howard Government's conduct of the Iraq War. In 2004 he ran as an independent against John Howard in Bennelong. In 2007 he was in second place on the Greens' Tasmanian Senate ticket. In 2010 he polled only 21% in Denison, but was elected on Green and Liberal preferences.

    Wilkie supported the minority Gillard Government in the 2010 hung parliament, but later withdrew his support. He easily won re-election in 2013 and 2016.

    The Labor candidate in 2019 will be Ben McGregor, a social worker and mental heath clinician. The Liberal candidate is Amanda-Sue Markham, a former nurse, who contested Franklin in 2016. (She was also a Christian Democratic candidate in the 2001 WA state election). The Greens candidate is Juniper Shaw, a bar manager.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,224 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 17.4% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 3.0% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 75.3% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 12.8% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 9.8% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 41.5% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 26.8% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 38.3% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 16.9% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 31.1% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 33.6% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 24.4% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members for Denison:

    Rt Hon Sir Philip Fysh (Prot, AS, Lib) 1903-10
    Hon William Laird Smith (ALP, Nat) 1910-22
    Hon David O'Keefe (ALP) 1922-25
    Sir John Gellibrand (Nat) 1925-28
    Hon Charles Culley (ALP) 1928-31
    Arthur Hutchin (UAP) 1931-34
    Gerald Mahoney (ALP) 1934-40
    Arthur Beck (UAP) 1940-43
    Dr John Gaha (ALP) 1943-49
    Hon Athol Townley (Lib) 1949-64
    Adrian Gibson (Lib) 1964b-69
    Dr Robert Solomon (Lib) 1969-72
    John Coates (ALP) 1972-75
    Hon Michael Hodgman (Lib) 1975-87
    Hon Duncan Kerr (ALP) 1987-2010
    Andrew Wilkie (Ind) 2010-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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