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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Chisholm, Victoria
South-eastern Melbourne: Blackburn, Box Hill, Burwood, Chadstone, Glen Waverley
State seats: Parts of
Box Hill,
Burwood,
Forest Hill,
Mount Waverley and
Ringwood
Local government areas: Parts of Monash and Whitehorse
Enrolment at close of rolls: 106,362
1999 republic referendum: Yes 57.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 61.6
Sitting member: Julia Banks (Liberal):
Elected 2016. Retiring 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.4%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 6.1%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.6%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.2%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 3.4%
Status: Very marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Elgar Park (60.9), Mount View (60.9), Highvale (59.4),
Blackburn (56.6), Camelot (55.4)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Chadstone East (57.3), Burwood Heights (54.8), Box Hill (54.2),
Box Hill South (53.7), Springview (53.6)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
1. Ian Dobby
Independent |
2. Angela Dorian
Rise Up Australia |
3. Luke Arthur
Australian Greens |
4. Gladys Liu
Liberal Party |
5. Rosemary Lavin
Animal Justice Party |
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6. Anne Wicks
Derryn Hinch's Justice Party |
7. George Zoraya
United Australia Party |
8. Jennifer Yang
Australian Labor Party |
Candidate websites:
Luke Arthur
Gladys Liu
Jennifer Yang
Division of Chisholm
Chisholm was created in 1949, and at that time was centred on Camberwell and was a safe Liberal seat. Successive
redistributions have pushed it east and south, and now it contains none of its original territory. Chisholm has a high
median income level, a high proprtiona of graduates and a high proportion of people in professional and managerial
occupations. What sets it apart from other Melbourne upper-income seats is the high level of people born in non
English speaking countries, particularly in China (a proportion which will be even higher on the new boundaries).
Chisholm's first two members, Sir Wilfrid Kent Hughes and Tony Staley, were both ministers, in the Menzies and Fraser
governments respectively. Labor won the seat for the first time in 1983, but in 1987 Dr Michael Wooldridge won it back for
the Liberals. Wooldridge was Health Minister in the Howard Government, but by 1998 Chisholm was seen as increasingly unsafe
by the Liberals, and Wooldridge moved to outer suburban Casey. The seat then passed to Labor's Anna Burke, who was
Speaker 2012-13 and retired in 2016. The loss of her personal vote, on top of Labor's weak performance in
Victoria, allowed the Liberals to regain the seat - their only gain at the 2016 election.
Julia Banks, Liberal MP for Chisholm since 2016, was chief general counsel and company secretary of George Weston Foods
before her election. Her father was born in Greece and she was lucky to avoid entanglement in the drama over dual
citizenship that caused six other MPs to resign. During the August 2018 Liberal leadership crisis she strongly
supported Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull. After his resignation she announced that she would not stand again in 2019,
blaming the "bullying and intimidation" of the Dutton camp. In November she resigned from the Liberal Party to sit as an
independent, and announced that she would run for Flinders against Health Minister Greg Hunt, one of the main plotters
against Turnbull.
The 2018 redistribution has improved Chisholm for the Liberals by removing Clayton and Oakleigh and adding
the Liberal stronghold of Glen Waverley, as well as marginal territory around Blackburn. Despite this, Labor
has good prospects of regaining it in 2019.
Labor's 2016 candidate, Stephanie Perri, was chosen to
recontest the seat but withdrew for family reasons in May 2018. Her replacement is Jennifer Yang, former Mayor of
Manningham. In October the Liberals chose Gladys Liu, a business consultant, as their new candidate. This sets
up an interesting contest between two Chinese-Australian candidates. The Greens
candidate is Luke Arthur, whose occupation is not stated.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,560 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 18.9% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 49.4% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 20.1%
Non-English-speaking households: 44.5% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 18.0% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 34.9% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 37.0% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 46.9% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 16.7% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 30.3% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 25.3% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 39.0% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Sir Wilfrid Kent Hughes (Lib) 1949-70
Hon Tony Staley (Lib) 1970b-80
Graham Harris (Lib) 1980-83
Helen Mayer (ALP) 1983-87
Hon Dr Michael Wooldridge (Lib) 1987-98
Hon Anna Burke (ALP) 1998-2016
Julia Banks (Lib, Ind) 2016-19
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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