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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Burt, Western Australia
South-eastern Perth: Armadale, Canning Vale, Gosnells, Thornlie
State seats: All of
Southern River, parts of
Armadale,
Cannington,
Jandakot and
Thornlie
Local government areas: Parts of Armadale, Canning and Gosnells
Enrolment at close of rolls: 105,218
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 57.0
Sitting member: Matt Keogh (Labor): Elected 2016
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.1%
Status: Marginal Labor
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Simone Collins
Australian Greens |
2. Matt Keogh
Australian Labor Party |
3. Nicole Devincentis
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
4. Sarcha Sagisaka
Western Australia Party |
5. Naomi Nation
Independent |
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6. David Goode
Liberal Party |
7. Sahil Chawla
United Australia Party |
8. Warnar Spyker
Australian Christians |
9. Peter Raffaelli
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers |
Candidate websites:
Simone Collins
David Goode
Matt Keogh
Division of Burt
Burt was created in 2016, from parts of the Liberal-held seats of Canning, Hasluck, Tangney and Swan. It
consists of mostly middle-class suburbs in south-eastern Perth, centred on Armidale, Gosnells, Kelmscott and
Thornlie, with a few adjoining semi-rural areas. Gosnells and Thornlie, formerly in Hasluck, are generally
Labor-voting, while Armidale, formerly in Canning, is politically marginal - it voted Liberal in 2013 but Labor
at the 2015 Canning by-election. Other areas, like Roleystone and Southern River, are strongly Liberal.
Burt is a classic mortgage-belt seat, with more than 50% of households paying a martgage, and more than 40% being traditional
families with dependent children. It has a fairly low level of university graduates and of people in professional and
managerial employment, and a higher than average level of non English-speaking households, wioth significant Chinese and
Muslim minorities.
At its creation Burt had a Liberal majortity of 6.1%. But this was misleading because it was based on the strong
personal vote of Don Randall, MP for Canning until his death in 2015. The seat was believed to be more marginal than
it looked, and this proved to be correct.
Matt Keogh, Labor MP for Burt since 2016, is a lawyer and former president of the Law Society of WA. He contested the
2015 Canning by-election and gained a swing of 6.5%. In 2016 in Burt he gained a giant 13.2% swing to gain a Labor majority of
7.1%, which makes the seat reasonable secure.
The Liberal candidate in 2019 will be David Goode, a finance broker and
Gosnells City councillor. The Greens candidate will be Simone Collins, a small business owner and
music teacher. The Australian Christians' Warnar Spyker, is a lawyer.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,539 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 10.8% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 2.4% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 53.9% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 6.6%
Non-English-speaking households: 27.8% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 18.5% (Australia 22.6%)
Muslim 5.1%
No religion 29.7% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 17.6% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.2% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 21.2% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 50.6% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 22.8% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 40.3% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Matt Keogh (ALP) 2016-
Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:
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