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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Gilmore, New South Wales
New South Wales South Coast: Batemans Bay, Kiama, Milton, Nowra
Sitting member: Ann Sudmalis (Liberal), elected 2013
Enrolment at close of rolls: 115,984
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.6%
2016 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 3.8%
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Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Steve Ryan
Christian Democrats |
2. Ann Sudmalis
Liberal Party |
3. Carmel McCallum
Australian Greens |
4. Fiona Phillips
Australian Labor Party |
2013 results
Statistics and history
Gilmore was created in 1984, originally as a country seat running inland from the coast to Goulburn. The 1993 redistribution turned it into a coastal seat
based on Nowra and Kiama. On those boundaries it was a marginal seat, which Labor won in 1993, but it has grown safer for the Liberals since 1996. It is
now mainly a farming, tourism and retirement seat, with a the country's third-highest proportion of over-65s and low levels of median family income, families
with dependent children and dwellings being purchased.
Joanna Gash, who won Gilmore for the Liberals in 1996, made no impact in Canberra, but was very popular locally and held the seat without difficulty until
she retired in 2013. She then arranged for one of her staffers, Ann Sudmalis, to gain Liberal endorsement. This provoked some local opposition, and the
result was a 2.7% swing to Labor in a year when the Liberals were winning government.
Ann Sudmalis, Liberal MP for Gilmore since 2013, is a former high school science teacher and company director of a family manufacturing business. She was
an electorate officer for Joanna Gash for five years. Labor's candidate is Fiona Phillips, a tutor at the University of Wollongong’s Shoalhaven campus.
The 2016 redistribution has improved the seat for the Liberals by removing the Labor stronghold of Shellharbour and adding Batemans Bay and Moruya, which
are politically marginal. This has pushed the notional Liberal margin out to 3.8%. This plus the advantage of incumbency which Sudmalis now enjoys will make
this an easier seat for the Liberals to defend.
These maps are the property of Adam Carr and may not be reproduced without his permission.
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Prospective pendulum, showing all candidates
State and territory maps, showing new boundaries
The thirty seats that will decide the election
Other seats of interest
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