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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Burt, Western Australia
South-eastern Perth: Armadale, Canning Vale, Gosnells, Thornlie
Sitting member: None
Enrolment at close of rolls: 99,572
2016 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 6.1%
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Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Matt Keogh
Australian Labor Party |
2. Muhammad Salman
Australian Greens |
3. Matt O'Sullivan
Liberal Party |
4. Warnar Spyker
Australian Christians |
5. Ian Blevin
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers |
Statistics and history
Burt is a new seat created by the 2015 redistribution, from parts of the Liberal-held seats of Canning, Hasluck, Tangney and Swan. It consists of mostly middle-class suburbs in south-eastern Perth, centred on Armidale, Gosnells, Kelmscott and Thornlie, with a few adjoining semi-rural areas. Gosnells and Thornlie, formerly in Hasluck, are generally Labor-voting, while Armidale, formerly in Canning, is politically marginal - it voted Liberal in 2013 but Labor at the 2015 Canning by-election. Other areas, like Roleystone and Southern River, are strongly Liberal.
In April the local Liberal Party chose Gosnells councillor Elizabeth Storer, a supporter of the party's "Christian Right" faction, to contest Burt, but this decision was overturned by the WA Liberal State Executive. She was replaced by Matt O'Sullivan, a youth worker and head of billionaire Andrew Forrest’s indigenous training body GenerationOne. The Labor candidate is Matt Keogh, a lawyer and former president of the Law Society of WA. Keogh contested the Canning by-election and gained a swing of 6.5%.
Burt's notional Liberal majority of 6.1% may be misleading, since it is based on the strong personal vote of the late Don Randall in Canning in 2013, which will not be a factor in 2016. Keogh's previous candidacy gives him a head start over the Liberal candidate. This, combined with the financial difficulties of the Liberal state government and consequent poor polling, may give Labor better prospects that the notional majority would suggest.
These maps are the property of Adam Carr and may not be reproduced without his permission.
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Prospective pendulum, showing all candidates
State and territory maps, showing new boundaries
The thirty seats that will decide the election
Other seats of interest
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