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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Bruce, Victoria
Eastern Melbourne: Dandenong, Glen Waverley, Mulgrave, Wheelers Hill
Sitting member: Hon Alan Griffin (Labor), elected 1993. Retiring 2016
Enrolment at close of rolls: 96,716
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.8%
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Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Douglas Leith
Animal Justice Party |
2. Stephanie Bauer
Australian Greens |
3. Helen Kroger
Liberal Party |
4. Nathan Foggie
Family First |
5. Jill Jarvis-Wills
Renewable Energy Party |
6. Julian Hill
Australian Labor Party |
7. Alan Roncan
Drug Law Reform |
2013 results
Statistics and history
Bruce was created in 1955, in Melbourne's fast-growing eastern suburbs: at that time it covered the whole outer eastern suburban area, and by 1966 had over 100,000 voters. In 1969 it was cut back to a block of suburbs based on Glen Waverley, and on those boundaries it was a fairly safe Liberal seat, although Labor nearly won it in 1983. The 1996 redistribution, however, moved the seat south to take in the industrial area around Dandenong, and since then it has been a marginal Labor seat, although it still has a higher than average median income level.
The key to Labor's strength is the very high level of people born in non English speaking countries, concentrated in the Dandenong area. The northern part of the seat around Glen Waverley is still Liberal, but the southern part of the seat is reliably Labor.
The first member for Bruce was Sir Billy Snedden, who was Treasurer, Leader of the Opposition and Speaker of the House. Alan Griffin won the seat for Labor in 1996 after a favourable redistribution and has held it ever since, although he was run close in 2013.
Alan Griffin, Labor MP for Corinella from 1993 to 1996 and for Bruce since 1996, was a public servant, union organiser and ministerial adviser before entering politics. He was an Opposition front-bencher from 1998, and was a junior minister in the Rudd-Gillard government. He is retiring at this election.
Griffin's successor as Labor candidate is Julian Hill, who has been a Griffin staffer for the past five years. Before that he held senior positions in the Victorian public service and was a City of Port Phillip Councillor and the city's youngest Mayor. Hill is openly gay. Given Labor's slender majority and the loss of Griffin's personal vote, the Liberals are making a serious bid for Bruce. Their candidate is Helen Kroger, who was a Senator for Victoria from 2008 to 2014. If there is a swing against Labor in Melbourne this seat will be at risk for Labor.
These maps are the property of Adam Carr and may not be reproduced without his permission.
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Other seats of interest
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