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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Hinkler, Queensland
Named for: Bert Hinkler (1892-1933), pioneer aviator
Central Coast Queensland: Bargara, Bundaberg, Childers, Hervey Bay, Howard
Enrolment at 2019 election: 107,761
Enrolment at 2022 election: 117,153 (+08.9)
1999 republic referendum: No 69.4
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 50.7
2023 Voice referendum: No 80.4
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Sitting member: Hon Keith Pitt (Nationals): Elected 2013, 2016, 2019, 2022
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2007 Nationals majority over Labor: 1.7%
2010 Nationals majority over Labor: 10.4%
2013 Nationals majority over Labor: 9.0%
2016 Nationals majority over Labor: 8.5%
2019 Nationals majority over Labor: 14.5%
2022 Nationals majority over Labor: 10.1%
Status: Fairly safe Nationals
Nationals two-party vote 1984-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Hon Keith Pitt The Nationals |
Division of Hinkler
Hinkler was created in 1984, based on the provincial industrial centres of Bundaberg and Gladstone. Once
Hinkler would have been a safe Labor seat, but the decline in Labor's regional base vote meant that even in
1984 it was no better than marginal for Labor. Hinkler has among the lowest level of median household income
of any seat in Australia, as a result of its mix of retirees, service workers and farmers, and has the
country's third-highest proportion of people over 65. It also has the low proportions of people born in non
English speaking countries and of people in professional and managerial occupations typical of regional seats,
especially in Queensland.
Hinkler was won by a National,
Bryan Conquest, in 1984, but the "Joh for Canberra" debacle led to his
defeat by Labor's
Brian Courtice in 1987. Courtice was defeated in 1993 by
Paul Neville, who held the seat
for 20 years without attracting much notice. One Nation caused Neville a lot of problems and he was very
nearly defeated in both 1998 and 2001. The 2006 redistribution did the Nationals a big favour by removing
Gladstone from the seat and replacing it with the fast-growing Hervey Bay tourism and retirement centre,
previously in
Wide Bay.
The Hervey Bay booths are usually solidly National. This made the seat a good deal
more secure for the Nationals. Following the large swing to the Coalition in regional Queensland in 2019, this
seat now looks fairly safe for the incumbent.
Keith Pitt, Nationals MP for Hinkler since 2013, was a cane
farmer and electrical engineer before his
election. Pitt was an assistant minister from February 2016 to December 2017, when he was abruptly sacked by
Barnaby Joyce. Following Joyce's demise, Pitt was rehabilitated by
Michael McCormack and became
Assistant Minister to the Deputy Prime Minister, but was again dropped in August 2018. In June 2021, when
Joyce regained the Nationals' leaership, Pitt returned to the ministry as Minister for Resources and Water. In that
job he was the main victim of Scott Morrison's "secret portfolio" affair.
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