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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Flinders, Victoria
Named for: Captain Matthew Flinders (1774-1814), navigator and explorer
South-east of Melbourne: Dromana, Hastings, Mornington, Mount Eliza, Portsea
Enrolment at 2019 election: 110,729
Enrolment at 2022 election: 114,414 (+03.5)
1999 republic referendum: No 58.1
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 70.0
2023 Voice referendum: No 57.3
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.3%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 9.1%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 11.8%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.8%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.5%
2022 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.7%
2025 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 6.7%
Status 2022: Marginal Liberal
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Zoe McKenzie
Liberal Party |
Division of Flinders
Flinders has existed since Federation, and has always occupied the Mornington Peninsula area south of Melbourne.
At various times it has also taken in large areas of the southern and eastern suburbs of Melbourne and parts of
western Gippsland. On its current boundaries most of its voters live in the tourism and retirement towns on the
Peninsula, from Mornington to Portsea. This explains both the electorate's low median family income and its high
proportion of over-65s. The seat also has a low proportion of university graduates and people in professional and
managerial employment, and a very low proportion of non English-speaking households.
In the 1970s and '80s, when the seat included the Labor-voting area of Frankston, it was highly marginal. But Labor
has won Flinders only three times, including the famous upset in 1929 when Nationalist Prime Minister
Stanley Bruce was defeated by Labor's
Jack Holloway. Labor last won the seat in 1983. Apart from Bruce, eminent members for Flinders have included Liberal
Cabinet ministers
Sir Phillip Lynch and
Peter Reith.
Greg Hunt, who won Flinders is 2001, is the son of longtime state minister
Alan Hunt. He was a parliamentary secretary in the last term of the Howard Government, on the opposition frontbench from 2007 to 2013, and in January 2017 became Minister for Health. In August
2018 he resigned from the ministry and supported
Peter Dutton's unsuccessful challenge to Prime Minister
Malcolm Turnbull.
He then contested the ballot for Deputy Leader but polled poorly. Prime Minister
Scott Morrison re-appointed him Minister for
Health. In this portfolio he led the government's much-criticised response to the COVID pandemic. He retired at the 2022 election.
Zoe McKenzie, Liberal MP for Flinders since 2002, was an industrial relations lawyer and former ministerial adviser before her election.
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