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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Bonner, Queensland
Named for: Neville Bonner (1922-99), first Indigenous Senator
Southside Brisbane: Chandler, Manly, Wishart, Wynnum
Enrolment at 2019 election: 104,610
Enrolment at 2022 election: 109,132 (+04.4)
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 62.0
2023 Voice referendum: No 59.6
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Sitting member: Ross Vasta (Liberal): Elected 2004. Defeated 2007. Elected 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019, 2022
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2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 4.5%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.8%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.7%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.3%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.4%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.4%
Status: Very marginal Liberal
Liberal two-party vote 2004-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Ross Vasta
Liberal Party |
Division of Bonner
Bonner was created in 2004 from parts of the Labor-held seats of
Bowman and
Griffith
in Brisbane's eastern suburbs. The
northern part of the seat around Manly and Wynnum is traditional Labor territory, and Labor also has some strength around
Mt Gravatt at the south-western end of the seat. But in between are strongly Liberal areas such as Belmont, Gumdale and
Mansfield. The seat occupies the mid range on most key demographic indicators: it is not really a mortgage belt seat, like
Bowman to the east, nor is it a multicultural inner-city seat like Griffith to the west.
In 2004 the sitting Labor member for Bowman, former minister
Con Sciacca, was expected to win this new seat, but he
became a victim of Mark Latham's lack of appeal to suburban voters in Queensland and was defeated by Ross Vasta. But
in 2007 the surge of support for Labor under the leadership of
Kevin Rudd (MP for neighbouring Griffith) saw Vasta
defeated by former Brisbane councillor
Kerry Rea. In 2010, with Rudd gone, Vasta won the seat back, and he increased his
majority in 2013. There was only a slight swing back to Labor in 2016. The seat was not changed by the 2018
redistribution. There was a strong swing to the Liberals in 2019, and only a slight movement back to Labor in 2019.
Ross Vasta, Liberal MP for Bonner 2004-07 and since 2010, is a former marketing manager. He has been an inconspicuous
member and has not gained promotion despite the high turnover on the Liberal front bench in recent years.
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