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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Banks, New South Wales
Named for: Sir Joseph Banks (1743-1820), naturalist who accompanied
Cook on The Endeavour
South-western Sydney: Allawah, Lugano, Padstow, Panania, Peakhurst
Enrolment at 2019 election: 106,253
Enrolment at 2022 election: 107,700 (+01.5)
1999 republic referendum: No 52.4
2018 same-sex marriage survey: No 55.1
2023 Voice referendum: No 61.0
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.1%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 2.5%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.8%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.4%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.3%
2022 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.2%
2025 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 2.6%
Status: Marginal Liberal
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Hon David Coleman
Liberal Party |
Division of Banks
Banks was created in 1949, and its boundaries and social composition have changed very little since. It has always taken in a block of
Sydney's south-western suburbs, areas which now have a stable, home-owning and ageing population, with a relatively high proportion
of non-English speaking households (particularly Chinese). The 2024 redistribution has extended Banks to the north, taking in parts of Bankstown and Milperra, and reducing the Liberal majority. But the increasing influx of high-income voters
into the suburbs along the Georges River, demographics are working against Labor in this part of Sydney
Until 2013 Banks was always held by Labor, although the Liberals came close to winning it several times.
Daryl Melham held the seat for
Labor from 1990 to 2103. Melham was an outspoken left-winger who twice resigned from the Labor front-bench in opposition but was never
promoted while Labor was in office. He was an increasingly poor fit for a seat rapidly filling with "aspirational" voters.
David Coleman, Liberal MHR for Banks since 2013, is a lawyer and company director, and previously held senior positions at PBL Media and
the Nine Network. He is a relative moderate in the NSW Liberal Party - he supported marriage equality, for example. He was appointed
an assistant minister in December 2017 and in 2018 became Minister for Immigration, Citizenship and Multicultural Affairs. But in the
December 2020 reshuffle he was demoted to Assistant Minister to the Prime Minister for Mental Health and Suicide Prevention. He is
now Shadow Minister for Communications.
At the 2019 election the Liberal margin in Banks blew out to 6.3%, which was cut back to 3.2% in 2022, and has been further
reduced by the redistribution. While it is still a marginal seat, it is unlikely that Labor can regain it unless there is a very big
swing across Sydney.
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