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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Burt, Western Australia
Named for: Burt family, distinguished WA family including Sir
Archibald Burt (1810-1879), first Chief Justice of WA, and Sir
Francis Burt (1918-2004), Chief Justice of WA, Governor of WA.
South-eastern Perth: Armadale, Gosnells, Kenwick, Thornlie
State seats: All of
Southern River, parts of
Armadale,
Cannington,
Jandakot,
Kalamunda and
Thornlie
Local government areas: Parts of
Armadale and
Gosnells
Borders with:
Canning,
Fremantle,
Hasluck,
Swan and
Tangney
Enrolment at 2019 election: 105,236
Enrolment at 2022 election: 113,024 (+07.4)
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 57.0
Sitting member:
Matt Keogh (Labor): Elected 2016, 2019
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.1%
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 5.0%
2022 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 5.5%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Labor
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Langford (68.0), Brookdale (66.3), Kelmscott (66.2),
Maddington East (64.4), Armadale West (64.3)
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Forrestdale (56.0), Harrisdale North (55.0), Piara Waters (49.6),
Armadale East (48.5), Armadale South (48.4)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Michele Castle
Australian Federation Party |
2. Travis Carter
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
3. Joshua McCurry
United Australia Party |
4. Daniel Garlett
Australian Greens |
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5. Stephen Phelan
Western Australian Party |
6. David Goode
Liberal Party |
7. Warnar Spyker
Australian Christians |
8. Matt Keogh
Australian Labor Party |
Candidate websites:
Travis Carter
Michele Castle
Daniel Garlett
David Goode
Matt Keogh
Joshua McCurry
Warnar Spyker
Division of Burt
Burt was created in 2016, from parts of the Liberal-held seats of
Canning,
Hasluck,
Swan and
Tangney. It
consists of mostly middle-class suburbs in south-eastern Perth, centred on Armidale, Gosnells, Kelmscott and
Thornlie, with a few adjoining semi-rural areas. Gosnells and Thornlie, formerly in Hasluck, are generally
Labor-voting, while Armidale, formerly in Canning, is politically marginal - it voted Liberal in 2013 but Labor
at the 2015 Canning by-election. There is some Liberal strength in outlying areas like Piara Waters.
Burt is a classic mortgage-belt seat, with more than 50% of households paying a martgage, and more than 40% being traditional
families with dependent children. It has a fairly low level of university graduates and of people in professional and
managerial employment, and a higher than average level of non English-speaking households, with significant Chinese and
Muslim minorities.
At its creation Burt had a Liberal majority of 6.1%. But this was misleading because it was based on the strong
personal vote of
Don Randall, MP for Canning until his death in 2015. The seat was believed to be more marginal than
it looked, and this proved to be correct.
Matt Keogh, Labor MP for Burt since 2016, is a lawyer and former president of the Law Society of WA. He contested the
2015 Canning by-election and gained a swing of 6.5%. In 2016 in Burt he gained a giant 13.2% swing to gain a Labor majority of
7.1%, which makes the seat reasonable secure.
The 2021 redistribution has moved the seat somewhat north, taking in Labor-voting Kenwick and
Maddington from Hasluck and parts of Gosnells from
Canning, while shedding Liberal-voting Canning Vale to Tangney. This has slightly increased the Labor majority. The state seats in this
area produced huge swings to Labor at the 2021 state election. This was
entirely due to state issues and should not be taken as an indicator that similar results
can be expected in WA at a federal election. The Liberal candidate is afain David Goode, a business owner and former Mayor of Gosnells.
The Greens candidate is Daniel Garlett, a small business owner.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,539 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 10.8% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 2.4% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 53.9% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 6.6%
Non-English-speaking households: 27.8% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 18.5% (Australia 22.6%)
Muslim 5.1%
No religion 29.7% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 17.6% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.2% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 21.2% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 50.6% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 22.8% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 40.3% (Australia 32.8%)
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