Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Richmond, New South Wales

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Northern New South Wales: Ballina, Brunswick Heads, Byron Bay, Murwillumbah, Tweed Heads
State seats: All of Tweed, parts of Ballina and Lismore
Local government areas: All of Byron and Tweed, parts of Ballina
Enrolment at close of rolls: 119,446
1999 republic referendum: No 53.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 67.9

Sitting member: Hon Justine Elliot (Labor): Elected 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Nationals: 8.9%
2010 Labor majority over Nationals: 7.0%
2013 Labor majority over Nationals: 3.0%
2016 Labor majority over Nationals: 4.0%

Status: Marginal Labor

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Ronald McDonald
    Sustainable Australia
    2. Hamish Mitchell
    United Australia Party
    3. Morgan Cox
    Christian Democratic Party
    4. Hon Justine Elliot
    Australian Labor Party
    5. Ray Karam
    Independent
    6. Tom Barnett
    Involuntary Medication Objectors
    (Vaccination/Fluoride) Party
    7. Matthew Fraser
    The Nationals
    8. Michael Lyon
    Australian Greens



    Candidate websites:

    Hon Justine Elliot
    Matthew Fraser
    Michael Lyon

    Division of Richmond

    Richmond has existed since Federation, occupying the north-eastern corner of NSW against the Queensland border. For most of its history it was a safe seat for the Country Party and its heir the Nationals, but from the 1980s rapid urbanisation of the coastal strip has caused the seat to be sharply reduced in size and changed in character, and made it politically marginal. Richmond has one of the lowest levels of median family income of any electorate, because of its population mix of retirees, hippies and low-paid tourism and service workers. Richmond has also been colonised by affluent urban refugees, as is shown by its fairly high rate of people in professional occupations. Only 6% of Richmond's workforce works in agriculture, which is why the Nationals have lost their grip on a seat which the Country Party held from 1922 to 1990.

    Richmond was dominated for many years by the Anthony family, the only three-generation dynasty in the history of the House of Representatives. Larry Anthony senior was a minister in the 1940s and '50s, his son Doug was Leader of the Country Party and twice Deputy Prime Minister, and Doug's son Larry was a minister in the Howard government until his defeat in 2004. Since then the Nationals have not looked like regaining what was once one of their safest seats.

    Justine Elliot, Labor MP for Richmond since 2004, was a police officer and state public servant before her election. She was a minister and a parliamentary secretary in the Rudd-Gillard Government, but was dropped in early 2013 and is now on the backbench. Although Labor has a modest majority of 4.0%, there doesn't seem much likelihood of the Nationals regaining this seat. The Greens won the state seat of Ballina in 2015 and polled 20.4% in Richmond in 2016.

    The Nationals candidate is Matthew Fraser, a food retailer, who also ran in 2016. The Greens candidate is Michael Lyon, a Byron Shire Councillor.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,099 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 23.5% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 3.4% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 76.0% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 6.5% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 20.3% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 33.3% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 16.6% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 32.2% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 24.2% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: 4.1% (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 27.7% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 28.3% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 24.9% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Thomas Ewing (Prot, Lib) 1901-10
    Hon Walter Massy-Greene (Lib, Nat) 1910-22
    Roland Green (CP) 1922-37
    Hon Larry Anthony (CP) 1937-57
    Rt Hon Doug Anthony (CP, NCP, NPA) 1957b-84
    Charles Blunt (NPA) 1984b-90
    Neville Newell (ALP) 1990-96
    Hon Larry Anthony (NPA) 1996-2004
    Hon Justine Elliott (ALP) 2004-

    Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:




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