Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Griffith, Queensland

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Southside Brisbane: Bulimba, Coorparoo, Greenslopes, Morningside, West End
State seats: Parts of Bulimba, Chatsworth, Greenslopes, Mansfield and South Brisbane
Local government areas: Parts of Brisbane
Enrolment at close of rolls: 111,917
1999 republic referendum: No 52.2
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 76.6

Sitting member: Terri Butler (Labor): Elected 2014 by-election, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.3%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 8.5%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.0%
2014 by-election Labor majority over Liberal: 1.8%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal 1.6%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal 1.4%

Status: Very marginal Labor

Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Coorparoo South (62.4), Bulimba (58.2), Brisbane PPVC (57.5), Balmoral (57.1), Bulimba Heights (56.9)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Buranda West (67.2), Holland Park South (65.6), South Brisbane (64.4), West End (63.9), Hill End (63.7)
  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Olivia Roberts
    Liberal National Party
    2. Terri Butler
    Australian Labor Party
    3. Max Chandler-Mather
    Australian Greens
    4. Christian Julius
    United Australia Party
    5. Julie Darlington
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    6. Tony Murray
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party



    Candidate websites:

    Terri Butler
    Max Chandler-Mather
    Olivia Roberts

    Division of Griffith

    Griffith was created in 1934, when the old seat of Oxley, which had taken in the inner southern suburbs of Brisbane since Federation, was renamed.* Until the 1970s it was usually a marginal seat, and changed hands regularly. Since then, like many inner city seats, it has drifted towards Labor as it has been colonised by high-income professionals with liberal-to-left political views, particularly in the South Brisbane-West End area. Today it has a fairly high median income level and a high proportion of graduates and of people in professional and managerial occupations. There are still a few Liberal areas, notably Bulimba, but most of the seat is now reliably Labor.

    Because this seat was so consistently marginal, no member was able to hold it long enough to become a minister until Ben Humphries, who was a junior minister in the Keating Government.

    Kevin Rudd won the seat at his second try in 1998, became Leader of the Opposition in 2006, and went on to win the November 2007 election. Rudd's autocratic style as PM rapidly alienated most his colleagues, and he was deposed in June 2010. Determined to regain the leadership, he staged a coup in June 2013 against his successor Julia Gillard and returned as PM, but then lost the September election to Tony Abbott. He resigned his seat in November 2013.

    Terri Butler, Labor MP for Griffith since the 2014 by-election, was an industrial lawyer and union organiser before her election. She suffered negative swings at both the 2014 by-election and the 2016 election. She was appointed a shadow parliamentary secretary in October 2015. The 2018 redistribution has removed some strong Labor territory around Annerley, slightly reducing the Labor majority. The Liberal candidate in 2019 will be Olivia Roberts, whose occupation is not stated. The Greens have named Max Chandler-Mather, a party organiser.

    * A new seat of Oxley, based on Ipswich, was created in 1949.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,890 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 10.0% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 65.9% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 21.0% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 24.1% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 34.4% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 38.1% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 48.7% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 17.3% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 29.7% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 46.5% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 26.5% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members for Oxley (1931-34) and Griffith (since 1934):

    Richard Ewards (Prot, AS, Lib) 1901-13
    James Sharpe (ALP) 1913-17
    James Bayley (Nat, UAP) 1917-31
    Francis Baker (ALP) 1931-39
    William Conelan (ALP) 1939b-49
    Douglas Berry (Lib) 1949-54
    Wilfred Coutts (ALP) 1954-58
    Arthur Chresby (Lib) 1958-61
    Wilfred Coutts (ALP) 1961-66
    Donald Cameron (Lib) 1966-77
    Hon Ben Humphreys (ALP) 1977-96
    Graeme McDougall (Lib) 1996-98
    Hon Kevin Rudd (ALP) 1998-2013
    Terri Butler (ALP) 2014b-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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