Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Fenner, Australian Capital Territory

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Northern Canberra: Belconnen, Bonner, Gunghalin, Macgregor
Territory seats: Parts of Ginninderrra and Yerrabi
Local government areas: None
Enrolment at close of rolls: 96,034
1999 republic referendum: Yes 64.5
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 74.0

Sitting member: Hon Dr Andrew Leigh (Labor): Elected 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 15.1% *
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 14.2% *
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.6% *
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 13.9%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 11.6%

* as Fraser

Status: Fairly safe Labor

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Glen Hodgson
    United Australia Party
    2. Kagiso Ratlhagane
    Australian Progressives
    3. Andrew Braddock
    Australian Greens
    4. Hon Dr Andrew Leigh
    Australian Labor Party
    5. Leanne Castley
    Liberal Party



    Candidate websites:

    Andrew Braddock
    Leanne Castley
    Glen Hodgson
    Hon Dr Andrew Leigh

    Division of Fenner

    Fenner was created by the 2016 redistribution, when the seat of Fraser, created in 1974, was renamed. It has usually taken all in the suburbs north of Lake Burley Griffin, and was slightly more urban and slightly less affluent than Canberra, the seat south of the lake. It also includes the territory of Jervis Bay on the NSW coast, which is the best Liberal booth in the electorate. Because of its high public servant population Fraser has a high proportion of people in professional and managerial occupations, but these vote very heavily Labor, making this one of the most affluent Labor-held electorates.

    The 2018 redistribution created a new seat of Bean in Canberra's southern suburbs, and this caused the seat of Canberra to be shifted northwards to take in the eastern part of Fenner. The new Fenner now covers only the north-west of Canberra, mainly in the districts of Gunghalin and Belconnen. This has slightly weakened the seat for Labor, but it is still a perfectly safe seat.

    The first two members for Fraser, Ken Fry and John Langmore, were strong leftists and spent their careers as backbench dissidents. Bob McMullan, by contrast, was a Labor insider, a former Labor National Secretary, and was a Cabinet minister in the Keating Government. In the Rudd Government he was made only a parliamentary secretary, and he took the hint and retired in 2010.

    Dr Andrew Leigh, Labor MP for Fraser and then Fenner since 2010, is a lawyer who also has a PhD in economics from Harvard. He was a principal adviser at the Treasury and a Professor of Economics at the Australian National University before his election. He also worked as an adviser to Senator Peter Cook. He was briefly a parliamentary secretary at the end of the Gillard Government, and is now Shadow Assistant Treasurer and Shadow Minister for Competition and Productivity, for Charities and Not-for-Profits and for Trade in Services. The Liberals candidate in 2019 will be Leanne Castley, a project manager at Citadel Group. The Greens candidate is Andrew Braddock, a public servant.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $2,041 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 10.6% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 66.1% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: Chinese 5.0%
    Non-English-speaking households: 27.4% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 20.7% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 37.1% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 38.4% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 45.4% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 12.4% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 39.6% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 33.8% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 35.0% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members for Fraser (1974-2016) and for Fenner (from 2016):

    Ken Fry (ALP) 1974-84
    John Langmore (ALP) 1984-96
    Steve Dargavel (ALP) 1997-98
    Hon Bob McMullan (ALP) 1998-2010
    Hon Dr Andrew Leigh (ALP) 2010-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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