Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Fairfax, Queensland

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Sunshine Coast: Buderim, Coolum Beach, Maroochydore, Nambour, Pacific Paradise
State seats: Parts of Buderim, Maroochydore, Nicklin and Ninderry
Local government areas: Parts of Sunshine Coast
Enrolment at close of rolls: 114,127
1999 republic referendum: No 62.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 64.3

Sitting member: Ted O'Brien (Liberal): Elected 2016

2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.0%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.0%
2013 Palmer United majority over Liberal: 0.0%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor :10.9%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 11.0%

Status: Fairly safe Liberal

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Kylie Cowling
    United Australia Party
    2. Jake Ryan
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    3. Sue Etheridge
    Australian Greens
    4. Ted O'Brien
    Liberal Party
    5. Richard Belcher
    Sustainable Australia
    6. Paul Henselin
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    7. Sinim Australie
    Independent
    8. Bertrand Cadart
    Liberal Democrats
    9. Julie McGlone
    Australian Labor Party



    Candidate websites:

    Sue Etheridge
    Julie McGlone
    Paul Henselin
    Ted O'Brien

    Division of Fairfax

    Fairfax was created in 1984, in the northern part of the Sunshine Coast, the fast-growing tourism and retirement region north of Brisbane. Until 2006 it was centred on Noosa, but the 2006 redistibution moved the seat south and it is now based on Buderim, Maroochydore and Nambour. Tourism has replaced agriculture as the dominant industry. The electorate has the below-average median family income level typical of seats of this kind, particularly in Queensland, reflecting the large population of retired people. It also has a low proportions of people in professional and managerial occupations and of people in non English speaking households.

    Fairfax has always been considered fairly safe for the non-Labor parties, shifting from National to Liberal in 1990 when the Nationals made an ill-advised attempt to install John Stone, the former head of the Treasury and a candidate with no local standing. He was defeated by a Liberal, Alex Somlyay, who held the seat thereafter without difficulty until he retired in 2013. The seat was then very narrowly won by the eccentric mining millionaire Clive Palmer, who soon got bored with being an MP and retired in 2016.

    Ted O'Brien, Liberal MP for Fairfax since 2016, was a Buderim businessman before his election, most recently as managing director of a government relations firm, Barton Deakin. He was also chairman of the Australian Republican Movement.

    In July 2018 Labor endorsed Michelle Dracoulis, who has a commercial photography business in Nambour. She withdrew in October and was replaced by Julie McGlone, State Manager, Community Engagement at Life Without Barriers. The Greens candidate is Sue Etheridge, a business owner. One Nation's candidate is Paul Henselin, a businessman.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,298 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 19.2% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 2.0% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 74.0% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 7.4% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 17.9% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 34.2% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 17.9% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 31.8% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 26.9% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 34.6% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 29.4% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 29.9% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Evan Adermann (NPA) 1984-90
    Hon Alex Somlyay (Lib) 1990-2013
    Clive Palmer (PUP) 2013-16
    Ted O'Brien (Lib) 2016-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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