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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Corangamite, Victoria
South-western Victoria: Anglesea, Apollo Bay, Grovedale, Leopold, Queenscliff
State seats: All of
Bellarine, parts of
Polwarth and
South Barwon
Local government areas: All of Queenscliffe and Surf Coast, parts of Colac-Otway, Golden Plains and Greater
Geelong
Enrolment at close of rolls: 111,638
1999 republic referendum: No 54.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 71.6
Sitting member: Hon Sarah Henderson (Liberal):
Elected 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.9%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.4%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.9%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.1%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 0.0%
Status: Very marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Ceres (70.8), Moriac (62.9), Point Lonsdale (61.7),
Wallington (59.5), Birregurra (59.1)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Aireys Inlet (63.5), Mandama (57.8), Bellbrae (57.1),
Clifton Springs (56.9), Grovedale East (56.7)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Ian Erskine
Rise Up Australia |
2. Libby Coker
Australian Labor Party |
3. Simon Northeast
Australian Greens |
4. Naomi Adams
Animal Justice Party |
5. Damien Cole
Independent |
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6. Hon Sarah Henderson
Liberal Party |
7. Neil Harvey
United Australia Party |
8. Mandy Grimley
Derryn Hinch's Justice Party |
Candidate websites:
Libby Coker
Damien Cole
Hon Sarah Henderson
Simon Northeast
Division of Corangamite
Corangamite has existed since Federation, located in south-west Victoria based on Colac and the surrounding rural areas. Until 2018 its
boundaries had changed very little over the years, but its demographics did change. The outer suburbs of Geelong spread into the
north-east of the seat, and the population of the Surf Coast towns increased greatly. This made what was once a very safe Liberal seat
increasingly marginal. Although the seat has a fairly high income level for a regional seat, it has the usual low proportion of people
born in non English speaking countries. It also has a high level of over-65s, reflecting the growth of retirement towns along the coast.
The 2018 redistribution has changed the seat substantially, removing Colac and most of the rural areas, while adding the fast-growing Bellarine
Peninsula communities of Leopold and Portarlington. The seat is now mainly a mix of coastal towns and outer Geelong suburbs, most of it
politically marginal. Labor's strongest areas are Geelong suburbs such as Grovedale, and some of the Surf Coast towns, notably Aireys Inlet.
The Liberals dominate the remaining rural areas, some coastal towns such as Lorne, and outer Geelong suburbs such as Ceres. These changes
have wiped out the modest Liberal majority, leaving Corangamite as the most (notionally) marginal seat in Australia.
(The redistribution also removed Lake Corangamite, for which the seat was named when it was created in 1901. This led the Electoral Commission
to propose renaming the seat Cox, after swimming teacher May Cox, but this proposed renaming of a federation seat was strongly opposed, and
the original name was retained.)
Jim Scullin, later Prime Minister, held Corangamite for one term (1910-13). At a by-election in 1919 Corangamite elected a Victorian Farmers Union
candidate, William Gibson, marking the arrival in federal politics of what soon became the Country Party. Tony Street, Foreign Minister in the
Fraser Government, held the seat
from 1966. He resigned in 1984 and was succeeded by Stewart McArthur. McArthur came from an old Western District family (his father Sir
Gordon was a state MP for many years), but by 2007, when he was 70, he had been overtaken by the changes in the seat. He was defeated by
Labor's Darren Cheeseman, who was narrowly re-elected in 2010. Cheeseman was defeated in the strong swing to the Liberals in Victoria in
2013.
Sarah Henderson, Liberal MP for Corangamite since 2013, is a barrister and former TV news reporter, corporate lawyer and media executive.
Her mother Ann Henderson was a state MP and minister. She was re-elected in 2016 with her majority only slightly reduced, but on the new
boundaries she will have a tougher contest in 2019. In August 2018 she was appointed Assistant Minister for Social Services, Housing and
Disability Services.
The Labor candidate, having her second tilt at the seat, is Libby Coker, also a former journalist, and twice Mayor of the Surf
Coast Shire. The Greens candidate is Simon Northeast, a Geelong lawyer.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,388 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 18.5% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 81.3% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 7.9% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 23.0% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 37.0% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 22.2% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 35.9% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 28.1% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 5.1% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 37.7% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 21.6% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 33.1% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Chester Manifold (Prot) 1901-03
Dr Gratton Wilson (FT, AS, Lib) 1903-10
James Scullin (ALP) 1910-13
Hon Chester Manifold (Lib, Nat) 1913-18
Hon William Gibson (VFU, CP) 1918b-29
Hon Richard Crouch (ALP) 1929-31
Hon William Gibson (CP) 1931-34
Hon Geoffrey Street (UAP) 1934-40
Hon Allan McDonald (UAP, Lib) 1940-53
Ewen Mackinnon (Lib) 1953b-66
Hon Tony Street (Lib) 1966-84
Stewart McArthur (Lib) 1984-2007
Darren Cheeseman (ALP) 2007-13
Sarah Henderson (Lib) 2013-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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