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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Lilley, Queensland
Northside Brisbane: Chermside, Nudgee, Sandgate, Stafford
Sitting member: Hon Wayne Swan (Labor), elected 1993, defeated 1996, elected 1998
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,004
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.3%
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. David Kingston Liberal Party |
2. Sharan Hall Family First |
3. Dr Simon Holmick Liberal Democratic Party |
4. Hon Wayne Swan Australian Labor Party |
5. Claire Ogden Australian Greens |
2013 results
Statistics and history
Lilley has existed since 1913, and was originally a rural seat north of Brisbane, based on Gympie. Since 1949 it has been confined to a block of suburbs on Brisbane's northside, based on the Labor strongholds of Nudgee and Sandgate, but including areas of Liberal strength around Aspley and Nundah. The seat has a stable, ageing population of mainly low-to-middle income earners, with a very low level of families with dependent children. Since 1949 Lilley has always been a marginal seat, but as with most inner suburban seats, it is gradually improving for Labor. The Liberals won it in 1996 but lost it again in 1998, and have been unable to regain it despite their gains in Queensland in 2010 and 2013.
Wayne Swan, Labor MP from 1993 to 1996 and from 1998, is a former Queensland Labor Party State Secretary and advisor to a number of ministers in the Hawke and Keating governments. He won the seat in 1993, lost it in 1996 and won it back in 1998. Swan was - and perhaps still is - a leading Labor insider who has played key roles in the various leadership changes over the past decade. He was Treasurer in the Rudd-Gillard Government and Deputy Prime Minister under Gillard. He resigned in 2013 rather than serve under Rudd and has been on the backbench since.
Swan's majority in 2013 was only 1.3%, but if the Liberals could not win Lilley then it seems unlikely they can win it now. The Liberal candidate is David Kingston, an environmental engineer and consultant.
These maps are the property of Adam Carr and may not be reproduced without his permission.
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Prospective pendulum, showing all candidates
State and territory maps, showing new boundaries
The thirty seats that will decide the election
Other seats of interest
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