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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Hughes, New South Wales
Southern Sydney: Heathcote, Menai, Moorebank, Woronora
Sitting member: Craig Kelly (Liberal), elected 2010
Enrolment at close of rolls: 104,456
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.7%
2016 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 11.8%
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Ellie Robertson Animal Justice Party |
2. Michael Caudre Christian Democrats |
3. Phil Smith Australian Greens |
4. Craig Kelly Liberal Party |
5. Deidree Steinwall Australian Labor Party |
2013 results
Statistics and history
Hughes was created in 1955, as a seat based on the Sutherland Shire and the mining communities on the coast between Sydney and Woollongong. It also usually included some Woollongong suburbs. On these boundaries it was a safe Labor seat, although it was lost to the Liberals in 1966 (when all of the present seat of Cook was in the seat). The 1984 redistribution, however, moved the seat north, making it an entirely Sutherland-based seat and politically marginal. This put Hughes in the top 10% of electorates for median family income. It also has among the highest proportions of families with dependent children and dwellings being purchased of any electorate: it is thus a high-income mortgage belt seat, full of young families with high incomes but high mortgages.
Hughes was held by two Labor ministers, Les Johnson in the Whitlam Government and Robert Tickner in the Keating Government, but the Liberals won it in John Howard's sweep of the Sydney marginals in 1996, and have held it ever since, despite a close call in 2007. It now has a Liberal majority of over 10%, and on the new boundaries that increases to 11.8%. Danna Vale, who won Hughes in 1996, was a Howard favourite and had a brief and unhappy ministerial career before retiring in 2010.
Craig Kelly, Liberal MP for Hughes since 2010, was an export manager before his election. Since it's hard to see Labor winning this seat again, Kelly can expect a long career, but seems likely to spend it on the backbench.
The Labor candidate is Deidree Steinwall, a high school teacher and member of Sutherland Shire Council.
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Prospective pendulum, showing all candidates
State and territory maps, showing new boundaries
The thirty seats that will decide the election
Other seats of interest
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