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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Forde, Queensland
South of Brisbane: Beenleigh, Boronia Heights, Shailer Park, Upper Coomera
Sitting member: Bert van Manen (Liberal), elected 2010
Enrolment at close of rolls: 99,091
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.4%
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Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. David Wilks
Independent |
2. Bert van Manen
Liberal Party |
3. Des Hardman
Australian Labor Party |
4. Annelise Hellberg
Family First |
5. Sally Spain
Australian Greens |
6. Shaun Spain
Australian Liberty Alliance |
2013 results
Statistics and history
Forde was created in 1984, and was originally located in the southern suburbs of Brisbane. Successive redistributions have pushed it southwards, and it now has none of its original territory. On its current boundaries, it is based on outer suburbs such as Shailer Park and Waterford, the satellite town of Beenleigh and some parts of the Gold Coast hinterland. The suburban parts of the seat are mortgage belt territory, with high levels of families with dependent children and of dwellings being purchased, and with the usual low level of people in professional occupations. Labor has some strong areas in Beenleigh and along the northern edge of the seat in Loganlea and Marsden, while the Liberals dominate the semi-rural areas to the south.
Forde has not been a safe seat for any of its five previous members: all have eventually been defeated. Kay Elson held it for the Liberals during the 11 years of the Howard government before being defeated in 2007 by Brett Raguse. In 2010, the sharp swing against Labor that followed the demise of Kevin Rudd saw Raguse defeated by Bert van Manen. Van Manen was comfortably re-elected in 2013, despite Labor running former Premier Peter Beatty as its candidate.
Bert van Manen, Liberal MP for Forde since 2010, was a bank officer and financial adviser before being elected. He has been an inconspicuous backbencher in Canberra. The Labor candidate is Des Hardman, a radiographer at Logan Hospital. Although Van Manen has a substantial majority, the volatility of Queendland seats and Labor's strong showing at the 2015 state election make this a winnable seat.
These maps are the property of Adam Carr and may not be reproduced without his permission.
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Prospective pendulum, showing all candidates
State and territory maps, showing new boundaries
The thirty seats that will decide the election
Other seats of interest
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