Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Casey, Victoria
Outer eastern Melbourne: Croydon, Lilydale, Monbulk, Mooroolbark
Sitting member: Hon Tony Smith (Liberal), elected 2010
Enrolment at close of rolls: 102,919
2013 Liberal majority over Labor 7.2%

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Candidates in ballot-paper order:

1. Dr Elissa Sutherland
Australian Greens
2. Kristin Bacon
Animal Justice Party
3. Hovig Melkonian
Australian Labor Party
4. Peter Charleton
Independent
5. Hon Tony Smith
Liberal Party
6. Angela Dorian
Rise Up Australia



  • 2013 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Casey was created in 1969, taking in a stretch of Melbourne's new and fast-growing outer north-eastern suburbs. During the Whitlam years Casey
    was the classic "litmus" seat, where Whitlam's appeal to suburban voters on issues like schools and sewerage had the greatest impact. Since the
    1980s, however, this area has become increasingly wealthy, and voters are more concerned about interest rates - Casey has among the highest levels
    of traditional families with children, and of people paying mortgages, of any electorate. These trends have made the seat increasingly secure for
    the Liberal Party in recent years. The Liberals dominate in the more heavily suburban parts of the seat around Croydon, Lilydale and Mooroolbark,
    while Labor retains some strength in the Dandenong Ranges part of the seat.

    Tony Smith, Liberal MP for Casey since 2001, worked at the Institute of Public Affairs, a Liberal think-tank, and as an adviser to Peter Costello,
    before his election. He was a parliamentary secretary in the last year of the Howard Government, and was on the opposition front bench from 2007
    and 2009. But his career stalled with the departure of his patron Cosetllo, and he was not included in the Abbott ministry. In August 2015 he was
    elected Speaker after the resignation of Bronwyn Bishop.

    Casey, once a highly marginal seat, is now a reasonably safe seat for the Liberals. The Labor candidate in 2016 will be Hovig Melkonian, an
    engineer.





    These maps are the property of Adam Carr and may not be reproduced without his permission.


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