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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Canning, Western Australia
South of Perth: Byford, Mandurah, Pinjarra, Roleystone
Sitting member: Andrew Hastie (Liberal), elected 2015
Enrolment at close of rolls: 99,006
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 11.8%
2015 by-election Liberal majority over Labor: 5.3%
2016 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 11.3%
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Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Jason Turner
The Nationals |
2. Aeron Blundell-Camden
Australian Greens |
3. Janine Vander Ven
Australian Christians |
4. Barry Winmar
Australian Labor Party |
5. Andrew Hastie
Liberal Party |
2013 results
2015 by-election results
Statistics and history
Canning was created in 1949, as a rural seat covering the southern part of the WA Wheat Belt. On these boundaries it was a very safe non-Labor seat, which changed hands several times between the Liberal Party and the Country Party. The 1980 redistribution turned it into an outer suburban seat based in Perth's south-eastern suburbs, and it has been politically marginal ever since. More recently it has been expanded to the south to take in the retirment centres of Mandurah and Dawesville, and semi-rural areas around Pinjarra.
Canning has been a typical outer suburban mortgage belt seat, dominated by traditional families with children and mortgages, and thus sensitive to interest rates and other economic issues. It also has one of the highest proportions of immigrants from the UK of any electorate. The Mandurah area has a large population of people over 65.
Don Randall, previously member for Swan, defeated Labor's Jane Gerick in 2001, and held the seat until his death in 2015. He was given a scare when the popular former state minister Alannah MacTiernan ran against him in 2010, but he won his largest ever majority in 2013.
Andrew Hastie, Liberal MP for Canning since the 2015 by-election which followed Randall's death, was an Australian Army officer for eight years, serving in Afghanistan. The 2016 redistribution has removed Labor-voting Armidale and Thornlie from the seat, while adding coastal territory near Mandurah, shifting the balance of the seat towards the coastal zone and away from the suburbs. The Liberal majority of 11.3% may be deceptive, being based on Randall's personal vote, but the seat is fairly safe for the Liberals.
The Labor candidate is Barry Winmar, a former police officer.
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Prospective pendulum, showing all candidates
State and territory maps, showing new boundaries
The thirty seats that will decide the election
Other seats of interest
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