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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Bonner, Queensland
Southside Brisbane: Chandler, Manly, Wishart, Wynnum
Sitting member: Ross Vasta (Liberal), elected 2004, defeated 2007, elected 2010
Enrolment at close of rolls: 100,853
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.7%
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Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Matthew Linney
Liberal Democratic Party |
2. Ken Austin
Australian Greens |
3. Jarrod Wirth
Independent |
4. Laura Fraser Hardy
Australian Labor Party |
5. Ross Vasta
Liberal Party |
6. Andrew Broughton
Family First |
2013 results
Statistics and history
Bonner was created in 2004 from parts of the Labor-held seats of Bowman and Griffith in Brisbane's eastern suburbs. The northern part of the seat around Manly and Wynnum is traditional Labor territory, and Labor also has some strength around Mt Gravatt at the south- western end of the seat. But in between are strongly Liberal areas such as Belmont, Gumdale and Mansfield. The seat occupies the mid range on most key demographic indicators: it is not really a mortgage belt seat, like Bowman to the east, nor is it a multicultural inner- city seat like Griffith to the west.
In 2004 the sitting Labor member for Bowman, former minister Con Sciacca, was expected to win this new seat, but he became a victim of Mark Latham's lack of appeal to suburban voters in Queensland and was defeated by Ross Vasta. But in 2007 the surge of support for Labor under the leadership of Kevin Rudd (MP for neighbouring Griffith) saw Vasta defeated by former Brisbane councillor Kerry Rea. In 2010, with Rudd gone, Vasta won the seat back, and he increased his majority in 2013, to a still-modest 3.8%.
Vasta, a former marketing manager, has been an inconspicuous member and has not gained promotion despite the high turnover on the Liberal front bench in recent years.
Bonner is a seat Labor must win if it is to defeat the Turnbull government. The defeat of the Newman government in 2015 gives Labor grounds for optimism, although the LNP retained the state seats of Chatsworth and Mansfield in the same area. Labor's candidate is Laura Fraser Hardy, who also contested the seat in 2013. Fraser Hardy is a lawyer specialising in industrial relations issues.
These maps are the property of Adam Carr and may not be reproduced without his permission.
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Prospective pendulum, showing all candidates
State and territory maps, showing new boundaries
The thirty seats that will decide the election
Other seats of interest
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