FEDERAL ELECTION OF 24 NOVEMBER 2007 DIVISIONS IN ORDER OF STRENGTH FOR LABOR ========================================================= Margins as at 7 December Division Member Margin Swing ========================================================= Very strong Labor --------------------------------------------------------- 001 Batman Vic Martin Ferguson 76.0 04.6 002 Grayndler Anthony Albanese 74.9 03.7 003 Throsby NSW Jennie George 73.5 09.7 004 Wills Vic Kelvin Thompson 72.7 05.8 005 Melbourne Vic Lindsay Tanner 72.1 01.0 006 Gellibrand Vic Nicola Roxon 71.7 06.7 007 Gorton Vic Brendan O’Connor 71.4 06.5 008 Scullin Vic Harry Jenkins 70.9 06.1 009 Chifley NSW Roger Price 70.6 08.6 010 Watson NSW Tony Burke 70.4 05.8 011 Port Adelaide SA Mark Butler + 69.8 06.8 012 Calwell Vic Maria Vamvakinou 69.3 11.1 013 Sydney NSW Tanya Plibersek 69.2 01.8 014 Blaxland NSW Jason Clare + 68.3 03.1 015 Fowler NSW Julia Irwin 68.3 05.0 016 Cunningham NSW Sharon Bird 68.1 06.5 017 Reid NSW Laurie Ferguson 66.9 04.8 Strong Labor --------------------------------------------------------- 018 Hunter NSW Joel Fitzgibbon 65.9 04.9 019 Newcastle NSW Sharon Grierson 65.9 06.8 020 Denison Tas Duncan Kerr 65.6 02.4 021 Lalor Vic Julia Gillard 65.5 06.7 022 Fraser ACT Bob McMullan 65.1 01.8 023 Maribyrnong Vic Bill Shorten 65.3 05.9 024 Werriwa NSW Chris Hayes 65.2 08.3 025 Shortland NSW Jill Hall 64.9 05.7 026 Oxley Qld Bernie Ripoll 64.1 07.0 027 Prospect NSW Chris Bowen 63.5 07.1 028 Kingsford Smith NSW Peter Garrett 63.2 04.5 029 Hotham Vic Simon Crean 63.1 05.7 030 Charlton NSW Greg Combet 62.9 04.5 031 Capricornia Qld Kirsten Livermore 62.7 08.7 032 Griffith Qld Kevin Rudd 62.3 03.9 033 Barton NSW Robert McClelland 62.2 04.6 Fairly strong Labor --------------------------------------------------------- 033 Canberra ACT Annette Ellis 61.7 01.8 035 Rankin Qld Craig Emerson 61.7 08.7 036 Holt Vic Anthony Byrne 61.5 10.0 037 Lingiari NT Warren Snowdon 61.0 03.3 038 Banks NSW Darryl Melham 61.0 07.8 039 Fremantle Melissa Parke + 59.0 01.3 040 Jagajaga Vic Jenny Macklin 59.0 04.6 041 Perth WA Stephen Smith 59.0 02.3 042 Corio Vic Richard Marles + 58.9 03.3 043 Lyons Tas Dick Adams 58.8 05.1 044 Richmond NSW Justine Elliot 58.8 07.4 045 Lilley Qld Wayne Swan 58.6 03.2 046 Adelaide SA Kate Ellis 58.5 07.2 047 Bruce Vic Alan Griffin 58.3 04.9 048 Ballarat Vic Catherine King 58.2 05.9 Marginal Labor --------------------------------------------------------- 049 Isaacs Vic Mark Dreyfus + 57.6 06.1 050 Makin SA Tony Zappia * 57.7 08.6 051 Lowe NSW John Murphy 57.4 04.4 052 Melbourne Ports Vic Michael Danby 57.4 03.6 053 Chisholm Anna Burke 57.3 04.7 054 Macquarie NSW Bob Debus + 57.1 06.6 055 Parramatta NSW Julie Owens 56.9 07.8 056 Brisbane Qld Arch Bevis 56.8 02.8 057 Lindsay NSW David Bradbury * 56.8 09.7 058 Wakefield SA Nick Champion * 56.7 07.3 059 Bendigo Vic Steve Gibbons 56.2 05.2 060 Brand WA Gary Gray + 55.6 01.0 061 Hindmarsh SA Steve Georganas 55.1 05.0 062 Moreton Qld Graham Perrett * 54.6 07.5 063 Blair Qld Shayne Neumann * 54.5 10.2 064 Bonner Qld Kerry Rae * 54.5 05.0 065 Franklin Tas Judy Collins + 54.5 -03.1 066 Kingston SA Amanda Rishworth * 54.4 04.5 067 Leichhardt Qld Jim Turnour * 54.1 14.3 Very marginal Labor --------------------------------------------------------- 068 Dobell NSW Craig Thomson * 53.9 08.7 069 Forde Qld Brett Raguse * 53.6 15.1 070 Longman Qld Jon Sullivan * 53.5 10.3 071 Eden-Monaro NSW Mike Kelly * 53.3 06.6 072 Dawson Qld James Bidgood * 53.2 13.2 073 Page NSW Janelle Saffin * 52.3 07.8 074 Petrie Qld Yvette D’Ath * 52.0 09.5 Swing required for Labor to lose majority - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 075 Braddon Tas Sid Sidebottom * 51.5 02.6 076 Deakin Vic Mike Symon * 51.4 06.4 077 Hasluck WA Sharryn Jackson * 51.4 03.2 078 Bennelong NSW Maxine McKew * 51.3 05.5 079 Bass Tas Jodie Campbell * 51.0 03.6 080 Corangamite Vic Darren Cheeseman * 50.8 06.1 081 Flynn Qld Chris Trevor * 50.3 08.0 082 Solomon NT Damian Hale * 50.2 03.0 083 Robertson NSW Belinda Neal * 50.1 07.0 ========================================================= Very marginal Liberal-National --------------------------------------------------------- 084 McEwen Vic Fran Bailey 50.0 06.4 085 Bowman Qld Andrew Laming 50.1 08.8 086 Dickson Qld Peter Dutton 50.1 08.8 087 Swan WA Steve Irons * 50.2 -00.3 088 Herbert Qld Peter Lindsay 50.4 06.6 089 La Trobe Vic Jason Wood 50.5 05.3 090 Macarthur NSW Pat Farmer 50.7 10.4 091 Cowper NSW Luke Hartsuyker 51.0 05.8 092 Sturt SA Chris Pyne 51.1 05.7 093 Hinkler Qld Paul Neville 51.2 07.2 094 Stirling WA Michael Keenan 51.3 00.8 095 Paterson NSW Bob Baldwin 51.5 04.8 096 Cowan WA Luke Simpkins * 51.7 -02.5 097 Hughes NSW Danna Vale 52.2 06.4 098 Kalgoorlie Barry Haase 52.5 03.8 099 Fairfax Qld Alex Somlyay 52.9 09.5 100 Boothby SA Andrew Southcott 53.0 02.4 101 Fisher Qld Peter Slipper 53.1 07.9 102 Wentworth NSW Malcolm Turnbull 53.6 -01.1 103 Ryan Qld Michael Johnson 53.8 06.7 Marginal Liberal-National --------------------------------------------------------- 104 Gilmore NSW Joanna Gash 54.1 05.3 105 Hume NSW Alby Schultz 54.2 08.7 106 Dunkley Vic Bruce Billson 54.2 05.2 107 Grey SA Rowan Ramsey + 54.5 09.4 108 Greenway NSW Louise Markus 54.5 06.9 109 McMillan Vic Russell Broadbent 54.7 00.3 110 Aston Vic Chris Pearce 55.1 08.1 111 North Sydney NSW Joe Hockey 55.5 04.5 112 Canning WA Don Randall 55.7 03.9 113 Forrest WA Nola Marino + 55.9 04.6 114 Gippsland Vic Peter McGauran 55.9 01.8 115 Goldstein Vic Andrew Robb 56.0 04.0 116 Menzies Vic Kevin Andrews 56.0 04.7 117 Casey Vic Tony Smith 56.1 05.3 118 Cook NSW Scott Morrison + 56.7 06.6 119 Higgins Vic Peter Costello 56.8 02.0 120 Mayo SA Alexander Downer 57.0 06.6 121 Wannon Vic David Hawker 57.5 04.9 Fairly strong Liberal-National --------------------------------------------------------- 122 Groom Qld Ian Macfarlane 58.1 10.8 123 Flinders Vic Greg Hunt 58.3 02.9 124 Lyne NSW Mark Vaile 58.6 04.8 125 Tangney WA Dennis Jensen 58.6 03.1 126 Wide Bay Qld Warren Truss 58.6 03.9 127 Berowra NSW Philip Ruddock 59.0 04.8 128 McPherson Qld Margaret May 59.0 05.0 129 Indi Vic Sophie Mirabella 59.2 07.1 130 Moore WA Mal Washer 59.2 01.7 131 Pearce WA Judi Moylan 59.3 03.7 132 Warringah NSW Tony Abbott 59.4 01.9 133 Barker SA Patrick Secker 59.5 10.4 134 Kooyong Vic Petro Georgiou 59.7 -00.1 135 Fadden Qld Stuart Robert + 59.8 06.1 136 Farrer NSW Sussan Ley 61.2 05.4 137 Mitchell NSW Alex Hawke + 61.6 09.1 138 Calare NSW John Cobb 61.9 Strong Liberal-National --------------------------------------------------------- 139 Mackellar NSW Bronwyn Bishop 62.5 03.0 140 Parkes NSW Mark Coulton + 63.0 04.5 141 Bradfield NSW Brendan Nelson 63.6 03.9 142 Curtin WA Julie Bishop 63.8 00.8 143 Moncrieff Qld Steven Ciobo 64.2 05.4 144 Maranoa Qld Bruce Scott 64.4 06.6 Very strong Liberal-National --------------------------------------------------------- 145 Riverina NSW Kay Hull 66.2 04.6 146 O'Connor WA Wilson Tuckey 66.6 03.8 147 Murray Vic Sharman Stone 68.3 05.8 148 Mallee Vic John Forrest 71.3 03.4 Independent --------------------------------------------------------- 149 Kennedy Qld Bob Katter 150 New England NSW Tony Windsor